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수요일, 8월 27, 2025

United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change registered at -2.392M, below expectations (-2M) in August 22

The Euro (EUR) came under renewed pressure against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as a stronger Greenback, soft German Consumer Confidence data, and escalating political tensions in France weighed on the single currency, with EUR/USD slipping below the key 1.1600 psychological mark.

.fxs-major-currency-prices-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:8px 16px}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table{width:100%;text-align:center;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:1rem}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table th{background-color:#f2f2f2}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td{color:#fff}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.green{background-color:#9cd6cd}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.red{background-color:#faafb5}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.blue-grey{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-legend{font-size:11px;margin:8px;color:#49494f}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.dark-green{background-color:#39ad9a}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-green{background-color:#9cd6cd}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.gray{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-red{background-color:#faafb5}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.strong-red{background-color:#f55e6a}EUR/USD drops below the 1.1600 psychological mark, down nearly 1.0% on the day.The US Dollar Index is holding firm above 98.50 but faces pressure from tensions between Trump and the Fed.Traders will eye the Eurozone confidence surveys and the ECB's Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts on Thursday.The Euro (EUR) came under renewed pressure against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as a stronger Greenback, soft German Consumer Confidence data, and escalating political tensions in France weighed on the single currency, with EUR/USD slipping below the key 1.1600 psychological mark.At the time of writing, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1586 during the American session, down nearly 1.0% on the day. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, is edging higher and holding firm above the 98.50 level.However, despite trading higher on the day, the US Dollar faces growing headwinds. Political tensions between President Donald Trump and Fed Governor Lisa Cook have sparked concerns over the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence, adding a layer of uncertainty to the monetary policy outlook. Following Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious remarks at Jackson Hole, markets are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a 25 bps rate cut in September, although upcoming inflation and labor market data will be key in shaping expectations.On the Eurozone side, Germany’s GfK Consumer Climate index for September dropped to -23.6, falling short of expectations of -21.5 and below the previous -21.7, marking the third consecutive monthly decline. The report revealed a sharp drop in income expectations, with concerns over job losses and weaker spending intentions amplifying fears about the Eurozone’s fragile recovery. The data highlights the continued strain on household confidence in Europe’s largest economy, further dampening demand for the common currency.At the same time, political tensions in France are adding pressure on the Euro. Prime Minister François Bayrou has linked his €44 billion budget plan to a crucial confidence vote in parliament, scheduled for September 8. This has raised concerns that the government may fall or new elections be called, raising broader questions about political stability in the Eurozone’s second-largest economy.Looking ahead, Thursday’s calendar will be closely watched, with the release of Eurozone confidence surveys and the ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, which may provide deeper insight into the Governing Council’s latest policy debate on inflation and growth. On the US side, Weekly Jobless Claims will offer an early snapshot of labor market conditions, while Friday’s Core PCE Price Index – the Fed’s preferred inflation measure – will be the key event of the week. Euro Price Today The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar. USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF USD 0.44% 0.22% 0.46% 0.11% 0.23% 0.55% 0.08% EUR -0.44% -0.23% -0.07% -0.37% -0.27% 0.07% -0.41% GBP -0.22% 0.23% 0.24% -0.10% 0.06% 0.34% -0.13% JPY -0.46% 0.07% -0.24% -0.32% -0.23% 0.09% -0.30% CAD -0.11% 0.37% 0.10% 0.32% 0.13% 0.46% -0.03% AUD -0.23% 0.27% -0.06% 0.23% -0.13% 0.34% -0.13% NZD -0.55% -0.07% -0.34% -0.09% -0.46% -0.34% -0.47% CHF -0.08% 0.41% 0.13% 0.30% 0.03% 0.13% 0.47% The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

The Euro (EUR) recovers some lost ground against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Wednesday, with EUR/JPY trading near 171.76 at the time of writing. The cross had slipped to a one-week low earlier in the day after disappointing German Consumer Confidence data briefly pressured the single currency.

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The cross had slipped to a one-week low earlier in the day after disappointing German Consumer Confidence data briefly pressured the single currency.The GfK Consumer Confidence Survey for September dropped to –23.6, undershooting expectations of –21.5 and below the prior –21.7. The report highlighted persistent weakness in household spending power and reinforced concerns about the Eurozone’s fragile economy, as rising fears of job losses weighed on purchase decisions and dampened hopes of a robust recovery.Details of the survey showed that income expectations had fallen sharply to their weakest level since March, while both the economic outlook and willingness to buy had declined to multi-month lows. According to GfK analyst Rolf Bürkl, sentiment is “definitely in the summer slump,” with consumers increasingly hesitant to make major purchases amid job insecurity and lingering inflation concerns.Technically, EUR/JPY remains confined between 171.00 and 173.00, a corridor that has capped price action since early August. The consolidation reflects investor hesitation ahead of key macro events.Looking ahead, Thursday brings the release of Eurozone sentiment indicators for August, including measures of business and consumer confidence, alongside the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy accounts (minutes), which could shape expectations for the central bank’s next steps.On Friday, attention shifts to Japan, where a busy data calendar includes Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, and Retail Sales. These reports will provide crucial signals on the strength of Japan’s economy and could shape expectations for the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) monetary policy outlook, particularly as markets assess how rising prices and labor market trends might influence the central bank’s stance. Economic Indicator ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts contain an overview of financial market, economic and monetary developments. It's followed by a summary of the discussion, in an unattributed form, on the economic and monetary analyses and on the monetary policy stance. The accounts offer a fair and balanced reflection of policy deliberations. The aim is to provide the rationale behind monetary policy decisions and enable members of the public to improve their understanding of the Governing Council’s assessment of the economy and its policy responses in the light of evolving conditions. Read more. Next release: Thu Aug 28, 2025 11:30 Frequency: Irregular Consensus: - Previous: - Source:

In an interview with CNBC on Wednesday, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said that he expects the Gross Domestic Product growth will continue to slow, per Reuters.

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In turn, the FXStreet Fed Sentiment Index stays near 104, reaffirming the neutral stance.The US Dollar (USD) preserves its strength following these comments. At the time of press, the USD Index was up 0.4% on the day at 98.60. Fed FAQs What does the Federal Reserve do, how does it impact the US Dollar? Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback. How often does the Fed hold monetary policy meetings? The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis. What is Quantitative Easing (QE) and how does it impact USD? In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar. What is Quantitative Tightening (QT) and how does it impact the US Dollar? Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading on the back foot on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) regains strength and edges higher, despite political turmoil surrounding US President Donald Trump’s attempt to oust Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook.

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At the time of writing, XAU/USD is holding near $3,380 at the start of the American session, after briefly slipping to around $3,373 during Asian hours. The move reflects modest profit-taking after climbing to a fresh two-week high. Still, the downside remains cushioned as markets weigh the uncertainty over the Fed’s independence and the dovish tilt in Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole, where he hinted that conditions “may warrant” interest rate cuts in the near term.Amid growing pressure on the central bank, Trump’s push to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook appears less about disputed mortgage-fraud allegations and more about reshaping monetary policy to suit his political objectives. On Tuesday, he declared that he expects to soon command a “majority” on the Fed’s Board of Governors, a shift that could tilt the institution toward more aggressive rate cuts. Cook, however, has refused to resign and is preparing to challenge the move in court, setting up a legal battle that could test the limits of presidential power over the Fed.Market movers: US Dollar edges higher, yields diverge, Fed independence under spotlightThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the Greenback against a basket of six major currencies, is advancing on Wednesday after a minor setback the previous day. At the time of writing, the index is hovering near 98.65, reclaiming lost ground and signaling renewed US Dollar strength.US Treasury yields are showing a mixed picture on Wednesday. The 2-year yield plunged to 3.66%, its lowest since early May, as markets price in higher odds of near-term Fed interest rate cuts. The 10-year yield steadies, hovering around 4.27% after coming under pressure from renewed concerns over the Fed’s independence. Meanwhile, the 30-year yield remains elevated near 4.92%, reflecting lingering inflation worries and broader caution over the long-term policy outlook. The Federal Reserve, for its part, has pushed back firmly, stating that Governor Cook’s status remains unchanged unless a court rules otherwise. In a statement, the central bank underscored that governors serve fixed 14-year terms and can only be removed “for cause,” describing tenure protections as a vital safeguard for monetary policy independence. With Cook vowing to sue and the Fed standing its ground, markets now face the prospect of a prolonged legal and political standoff. For Gold, this tug-of-war reinforces its safe-haven appeal, as investors hedge against both institutional uncertainty and the risk of deeper political interference in the monetary policy. According to CNBC, Cook’s lawsuit could be filed as soon as this Wednesday.On the trade front, US tariffs on Indian imports doubled to 50% on Wednesday after a new 25% levy took effect, targeting a wide range of goods — from textiles and footwear to jewelry and chemicals. The move, aimed at pressuring New Delhi over its continued purchases of discounted Russian Oil, puts nearly half of India’s $87 billion in annual exports to the US at a sharp competitive disadvantage.The European Union (EU) is preparing to propose removing tariffs on US industrial goods this week to meet US President Trump’s demands, according to Bloomberg. In return, Washington is expected to lower auto tariffs on EU vehicles from 27.5% to 15%, potentially backdated to August 1. The proposal would also expand access for American seafood and agricultural goods, aiming to ease escalating trade tensions between the two economies.On the economic data front, US releases painted a mixed picture on Tuesday. Durable Goods Orders fell 2.8% in July on weaker aircraft bookings, but Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation rose 1.1%, showing underlying resilience. Meanwhile, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index slipped to 97.4 in August from 98.7, with the expectations gauge dropping below the 80 threshold that often signals recession risks.Wednesday’s calendar is relatively light, keeping markets in a consolidative mood. Traders are looking ahead to Thursday’s weekly US Initial Jobless Claims for fresh signals on the labor market, followed by Friday’s US core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation report — the Fed’s preferred gauge — which is expected to be the week’s key event risk.Technical analysis: XAU/USD slips from two-week peak, bullish structure intactXAU/USD is edging lower on Wednesday after hitting a fresh two-week high at $3,394, with buyers seen unwinding long positions ahead of the key $3,400 psychological barrier. The retreat reflects mild profit booking, as sellers re-emerged near resistance to cap further upside momentum.On the downside, immediate support is aligned between the 21-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $3,370 and the 100-period SMA at $3,358, making this confluence zone around $3,370-$3,350 a crucial floor for near-term price action. As long as Gold holds above this area, the broader bullish structure remains intact. However, a decisive break lower would expose the $3,340 level, followed by the next support at $3,320.Momentum indicators remain constructive but show signs of moderation. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has eased to 55, slipping from near overbought territory, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) still trades above the signal line but with narrowing histogram bars, signaling fading upside momentum. Gold FAQs Why do people invest in Gold? Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government. Who buys the most Gold? Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves. How is Gold correlated with other assets? Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal. What does the price of Gold depend on? The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

Mexico Trade Balance s/a, $ dipped from previous $0.595B to $0.296B in July

Mexico Trade Balance, $ came in at $-0.017B below forecasts ($0.38B) in July

US Dollar (USD) could edge lower but is unlikely to threaten the major support at 7.1435. In the longer run, rapidly increasing downward momentum indicates USD could drop below 7.1435; it is unclear now if 7.1290 is within reach, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

US Dollar (USD) could edge lower but is unlikely to threaten the major support at 7.1435. In the longer run, rapidly increasing downward momentum indicates USD could drop below 7.1435; it is unclear now if 7.1290 is within reach, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.Downward momentum indicates USD can at least 7.143524-HOUR VIEW: "Our view that USD 'could drop below July’s low of 7.1435' yesterday was incorrect. USD dropped briefly to 7.1473, rebounded strongly to 7.1650, and then eased to close largely unchanged at 7.1535 (-0.06%). Despite the choppy price action, the underlying tone appears soft. Today, we expect USD to edge lower, but given the mild downward pressure, any decline is unlikely to threaten 7.1435. On the upside, resistance levels are at 7.1600 and 7.1650."1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Our update from yesterday (26 Aug, spot at 7.1580) remains valid. As pointed out, 'the rapidly increasing downward momentum indicates USD could drop below July’s low of 7.1435.' However, currently, it is unclear if the next support at 7.1290 is within reach. We will maintain our negative view as long as 7.1800 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) is not breached."

The Euro (EUR) is weak, down 0.5% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming the G10 currencies as we head into Wednesday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.

The Euro (EUR) is weak, down 0.5% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming the G10 currencies as we head into Wednesday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.EUR is underperforming with news of Dutch no confidence vote"Political uncertainty is in focus as market participants consider the news of a no confidence vote in the Netherlands, compounding existing concerns related to France. There have been no data releases and near-term ECB risk lies with Thursday’s ECB minutes and a scheduled speech from Rehn." "The RSI remains close to neutral, having just broken below the dividing threshold at 50. The fresh local low is notable however, and shifts the focus to the Aug 1 low around 1.14. We remain neutral—for now—looking to a near-term range bound between 1.1550 support 1.1650 resistance."

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trade cautiously near Tuesday’s low of $63.00 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The Oil price struggles to gain ground ahead of the United States (US) Oil inventories data for the week ending August 22.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}The Oil price trades with caution around $63.00 ahead of US oil inventory data.Trade tensions between the US and India could dampen the Oil demand outlook.WTI turns bearish on the formation of a Lower High Lower Low structure.West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trade cautiously near Tuesday’s low of $63.00 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The Oil price struggles to gain ground ahead of the United States (US) Oil inventories data for the week ending August 22.The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) is expected to show that Oil inventories declined again. Oil stockpiles are seen contracting by 2 million barrels, lower than the 6.01 million barrels decline recorded last week.Meanwhile, the imposition of tariffs by the United States (US) on imports from India has raised concerns over the Oil demand outlook. US President Donald Trump has raised tariffs on India to 50% for buying Russian Oil, which will come into effect at 12:01 AM EDT or 09:31 PM IST on Wednesday, according to a letter from US Homeland Security.Given that India is one of the largest Oil importers in the world, soft demand for energy by the Indian economy would weigh on the Oil demand.The formation of a fresh swing low by the Oil price near $61.35 on August 13 has confirmed a lower high lower low structure, which indicates a bearish trend. The downward-sloping 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $64.60 also suggests that the near-term trend is bearish.The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates inside the 40.00-60.00 range, indicating a sideways trend.The Oil price could extend its downside to near the psychological level of $60.00 and the May 30 low of $59.40 if it breaks below the August 13 low of $61.35.On the flip side, a recovery move by the Oil price above the August 6 high of $66.00 would open the door towards the July 9 high of $68.00, followed by the July 30 high of $70.00.WTI daily chart WTI Oil FAQs What is WTI Oil? WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media. What factors drive the price of WTI Oil? Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa. How does inventory data impact the price of WTI Oil The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency. How does OPEC influence the price of WTI Oil? OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.  

US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a range between 147.00 and 148.00. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; USD could trade in a range between 146.40 and 148.40, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a range between 147.00 and 148.00. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; USD could trade in a range between 146.40 and 148.40, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.Outlook is mixed for USD/JPY24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, when USD was at 147.55, we noted that 'the price action still appears to be part of a range-trading phase,' and we expected it to 'trade in a range between 146.70 and 148.00.' USD subsequently fluctuated between 146.97 and 147.90, before closing at 147.40 (-0.25%). We are not able to derive much from the price movements. Today, we continue to expect range-trading, most likely between 147.00 and 148.00."1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Our update from two days ago (25 Aug, spot at 147.35) remains valid. As highlighted, 'The recent sharp price swings, which failed to result in a sustained directional move, have led to a mixed outlook for USD. For the time being, USD could trade in a range between 146.40 and 148.40.”

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is down a marginal 0.1% against the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming on the crosses, extending its tight post-Jackson Hole range as it maintains its recent gains, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is down a marginal 0.1% against the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming on the crosses, extending its tight post-Jackson Hole range as it maintains its recent gains, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.USD/CAD’s range has been incredibly narrow"The CAD’s relative outperformance is to be expected, as close economic ties to the US dampen the extent of currency weakness (relative to peers like AUD and NZD). The outlook for relative central bank policy remains supportive and the 2Y US-Canada spread is hitting fresh lows, pushing to 95bpts and reaching levels last seen in October 2024. Our FV estimate for USD/CAD is currently at 1.3650, suggesting a meaningful undervaluation for the CAD at the moment." "The domestic calendar remains limited ahead of Thursday’s Q2 current account figures and Friday’s Q2 GDP. Gov. Macklem’s Tuesday speech offered little in terms of the near-term outlook however we remain CAD bulls and see scope for CAD strength as markets fade their easing bias with September still pricing 9bpts of cuts.""USD/CAD’s range has been incredibly narrow following Friday’s bearish outside reversal. The RSI is close to neutral, offering little in terms of momentum. We continue to look to a near-term range bound between 1.3780 support and 1.3920 resistance."

The price action provides no fresh clues; New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is expected to range-trade between 0.5835 and 0.5875.

The price action provides no fresh clues; New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is expected to range-trade between 0.5835 and 0.5875. In the longer run, NZD appears to have entered a range-trading phase; for the time being, it is likely to trade between 0.5820 and 0.5920, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.The price action provides no fresh clues24-HOUR VIEW: "When NZD was at 0.5850 in the early Asian session yesterday, we indicated that 'the current price movements appear to be part of a range-trading phase, most likely between 0.5830 and 0.5875.' Our view of range-trading was not wrong, even though NZD traded within a narrower range than expected, between 0.5830 and 0.5867. The price action provides no fresh clues, and we continue to expect NZD to range-trade, most likely between 0.5835 and 0.5875."1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We continue to hold the same view as Monday (25 Aug, spot at 0.5865). As highlighted, NZD appears to have entered a range-trading phase, and for the time being, it is likely to trade between 0.5820 and 0.5920.”

The Euro is trading lower for the third consecutive day against the British Pound on Wednesday, with bears attempting to break the bottom of an expanding wedge, at 0.8625 aiming for the bottom of the last two months’ trading range, at 0.8595.In the absence of key fundamental drivers, the Euro is on

.fxs-related-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-related-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{text-decoration:none;color:#1b1c23;font-weight:700;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;line-height:20px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a:hover,.fxs-related-module-related-link:hover,.fxs-related-module-related-link:hover a{color:#e4871b}.fxs-related-module-related-link a:hover{text-decoration:none}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-related-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}}The Euro depreciates for the third consecutive day against a stronger British Pound.Concerns about the French political crisis keep weighing on the common currency.EUR/GBP: A bearish move below 0.8595 would confirm a double top above 0.8740.
The Euro is trading lower for the third consecutive day against the British Pound on Wednesday, with bears attempting to break the bottom of an expanding wedge, at 0.8625 aiming for the bottom of the last two months’ trading range, at 0.8595.

In the absence of key fundamental drivers, the Euro is on the defensive, amid growing fears about the political crisis in France. French Prime Minister Francoise Bayrou has failed to find support in a vote of confidence scheduled for September 8, which will force President Macron to call another snap election.Technical Analysis: Eroding the bottom of a Wedge Pattern
The EUR/GBP technical picture is negative. Monday’s price action has printed a bearish engulfing pattern, a strongly negative signal, and the pair is eroding the bottom of the last two weeks’ expanding wedge with momentum indicators deepening further within bearish territory in daily charts.
The key support area is at 0.8595-08600, where July 7 and August 14 lows meet the 30.6% retracement of the June-July rally. This is also the neckline of a potential double top, at late July and early August highs in the 0.8740-0.8750 area.

A confirmation below this level opens the doors to the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of the mentioned cycle, at 0.8555 and 0.8505, respectively. The DT's measured target is the May 21 and June 2 highs around 0.8450 
To the upside, Monday’s impulsive reaction from the 0.8670 area reveals an important resistance at those levels. Further up, the wedge top is now around 0.8700.  Related news France’s government faces collapse and markets react – ABN AMRO EUR: French political uncertainty is on the rise acting as a dampener on Euro – MUFG EUR: French government looks likely to fall in September – ING

The US Dollar (USD) is strengthening broadly and meaningfully against all of the G10 currencies as we head into Wednesday’s NA session, making notable gains and hitting fresh local highs against key currencies—most importantly the EUR.

The US Dollar (USD) is strengthening broadly and meaningfully against all of the G10 currencies as we head into Wednesday’s NA session, making notable gains and hitting fresh local highs against key currencies—most importantly the EUR. Political uncertainty in Europe appears to be broadening as the Dutch government faces a no confidence vote ahead of an election scheduled for October, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.USD strengthening broadly and fully retracing post-Jackson Hole losses"French bond markets look to have stabilized somewhat following Tuesday’s announcement of a September 8 confidence vote, however the country’s yields remain elevated as French-German yield spreads continue to widen. Market participants remain focused on Fed developments following President Trump’s attempt at firing BoG member Cook. The Senate Banking Committee is set to hold its nomination hearing for White House economic advisor Stephen Miran next week." "Miran has only been nominated to replace departing BoG member Kugler—whose term ends in January—however Trump suggested Tuesday that Miran could potentially fill Cook’s vacancy, which expires in 2038. The USD has now fully recouped its Jackson Hole-driven losses and the relative performance among the G10 currencies reveals notable overnight weakness in NZD, EUR, and CHF. GBP and MXN are mid-performers with minor declines while the CAD is outperforming on the crosses with marginal weakness vs. the USD. Broader markets are mixed and offering no clear tone as equity futures consolidate within an incredibly tight range just below their recent high." "The US 10Y is quietly consolidating just above 4.25% while the 2Y has dropped to a fresh local low of 3.65%, sending the 2-10 spread to its highest level since the period of bond market turbulence observed in mid/late April. In commodities, oil prices (WTI) are marginally extending Tuesday’s bearish reversal and trading defensively with a continued focus on concerns about oversupply as well as US tariffs on India. Copper is also weak and trading to the lower end of its recent range as gold pulls back to the midpoint of its range from April. Wednesday’s US release calendar is empty, leaving the focus squarely centered on headline risk and Fed developments."

Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to trade in a range of 0.6480/0.6510. In the longer run, slight increase in upward momentum is likely to lead to a higher range of 0.6440/0.6540 rather than a sustained advance, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to trade in a range of 0.6480/0.6510. In the longer run, slight increase in upward momentum is likely to lead to a higher range of 0.6440/0.6540 rather than a sustained advance, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.Slight increase in upward momentum24-HOUR VIEW: "While we expected 'further range trading' yesterday, we stated that 'the softer underlying tone suggests a lower range of 0.6455/0.6505.' However, AUD traded in a narrower range than expected, dipping to a low of 0.6471 before rebounding to 0.6501. AUD closed slightly higher at 0.6495, up 0.19%. While we continue to expect range-trading, this time around, the firmer underlying tone suggests a higher range of 0.6480/0.6510."1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Our update from two days ago (25 Aug, spot at 0.6485) still stands. As highlighted, after last Friday’s price movements, 'there has been an increase in upward momentum, but not significantly, and this is likely to lead to a higher range of 0.6440/0.6540 rather than a sustained advance.”

US Dollar (USD) is firmer across the board, though it continues to trade within this month’s narrow range. Nevertheless, political interference with the Fed’s independence and a dovish Fed will continue to undermine USD , BBH's FX analysts report.

US Dollar (USD) is firmer across the board, though it continues to trade within this month’s narrow range. Nevertheless, political interference with the Fed’s independence and a dovish Fed will continue to undermine USD , BBH's FX analysts report.Cook might return to work while legal proceedings are ongoing"Fed Governor Lisa Cook's exit from the Fed could ultimately give President Donald Trump greater opportunity to tighten his grip on the central bank by appointing a replacement aligned with his dovish monetary policy agenda. In the meantime, Cook is seeking court approval for her continued right to carry on in her role at the Fed. If it succeeds, she could return to work while legal proceedings are ongoing.""US consumers are more pessimistic about future job availability. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence labor differential index (jobs plentiful minus jobs hard to get) dropped 1.3 points to 9.7 in August, the lowest since February 2021 and indicative of a rapid rise in the unemployment rate. Indeed, Fed Chair Jay Powell warned last week that downside risks to employment are rising.""Risk is the Fed delivers deeper rate cuts than the markets expect. Fed funds futures price-in nearly 90% odds of a 25bps cut at the next September 17 meeting and a total of 50bps of easing by year-end."

The current price movements still appear to be part of a range-trading phase, likely between 1.3450 and 1.3505.

The current price movements still appear to be part of a range-trading phase, likely between 1.3450 and 1.3505. In the longer run, further pound Sterling (GBP) strength is not ruled out, but it is unclear if there is enough momentum for it to reach 1.3595, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.There is still a chance for GBP to edge higher24-HOUR VIEW: "Price movements still appear to be part of a range-trading phase GBP pulled back sharply and reached a low of 1.3447 on Monday. Yesterday, Tuesday, we highlighted the following: “Despite the sharp decline, there has been no clear increase in downward momentum, and instead of continuing to weaken, GBP is more likely to trade in a range today, probably between 1.3440 and 1.3520.' GBP subsequently dipped briefly to 1.3435, rebounded to 1.3494, and then closed at 1.3479, up slightly by 0.19%. The current price movements still appear to be part of a range-trading phase. Today, we expect GBP to trade between 1.3450 and 1.3505." 1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Two days ago (25 Aug, spot at 1.3515), we indicated that 'while further GBP strength is not ruled out, it is currently unclear if there is enough momentum for it to reach 1.3595.' We also indicated that 'if GBP breaks below 1.3425, it would mean that it is likely to trade within a range instead of strengthening.' Although GBP has not been able to make further headway to the upside, as long as 1.3425 holds, there is still a chance for GBP to edge higher."

Yesterday, I wrote that I could hardly imagine a scenario in which the dollar would suddenly appreciate massively and regain its former strength. Nevertheless, we could see a correction in EUR/USD. One that comes from the euro side.

Yesterday, I wrote that I could hardly imagine a scenario in which the dollar would suddenly appreciate massively and regain its former strength. Nevertheless, we could see a correction in EUR/USD. One that comes from the euro side. I don't want to paint a bleak picture, but one issue that I have already addressed could increasingly come to the fore and weigh on the euro: the sustainability of debt in the euro zone, Commerzbank's FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes. US D is currently the focus of attention"The government crisis in France surrounding the essential budget consolidation to limit the rise in debt and the increase in French yields show how quickly the euro can come under downward pressure again if debt levels in the euro area get out of hand. After all, debt ratios in the euro zone are likely to rise significantly in the coming years, partly due to rising interest charges and higher defense spending. It is no use pointing the finger at debt developments in the US; instead, countries need to do their homework, especially France and Italy, and take countermeasures.""For as worrying as the projections for US debt may be, some euro area countries are just as vulnerable. If the countries concerned fail to implement reforms, this could increase pressure on the EU to take on joint debt and on the ECB to push down yields, at least temporarily, through additional bond purchases and/or a reduction in its key interest rates – contrary to its mandate of price stability. And that, in turn, would be negative for the euro. Apart from the loss of confidence in the single currency, there has already been a debt crisis in the euro zone once before.""I am by no means calling for a crisis and euro weakness; I am far from doing so, especially since it is time for countries to put their own houses in order and take countermeasures, even if this means painful savings and reforms. I would just like to point out that, although the dollar is currently the focus of attention when looking at EUR/USD, the euro zone also has its problems, which should not be ignored."

There has been no increase in either downward or upward momentum; Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range of 1.1610/1.1675. In the longer run, EUR is expected to trade in a range between 1.1580 and 1.1745, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

There has been no increase in either downward or upward momentum; Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range of 1.1610/1.1675. In the longer run, EUR is expected to trade in a range between 1.1580 and 1.1745, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.No increase in either downward or upward momentum24-HOUR VIEW: "EUR pulled back sharply to a low of 1.1601 two days ago. Yesterday, when EUR was at 1.1630, we stated that 'the sharp decline appears to be running ahead of itself, and EUR is unlikely to weaken much further.' We expected EUR to 'trade in a range of 1.1600/1.1690.' Ourview of range trading was not wrong, even though EUR traded between 1.1599 and 1.1665, a narrower range than we expected. There has been no increase in either downward or upward momentum, and we continue to expect EUR to trade in a range today, probably between 1.1610 and 1.1675."1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We continue to hold the same view as yesterday (26 Aug, spot at 1.1630). As highlighted, we expect EUR to trade in a range between 1.1580 and 1.1745 for now."

United States MBA Mortgage Applications climbed from previous -1.4% to -0.5% in August 22

The New Zealand Dollar is struggling on Wednesday against a stronger US Dollar. The pair depreciates about 0.60% so far, reaching weekly lows right above 0.5820 and approaching four-month lows, at 0.5800

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}The New Zealand Dollar extends losses against a stronger USD, nearing four-month lows at 0.5800.The US Dollar is outperforming its peers on Wednesday despite rising threats to the Fed's independence.On Thursday, New Zealand's Business Confidence and Capital Expenditure data will provide some guidance for the Kiwi.
The New Zealand Dollar is struggling on Wednesday against a stronger US Dollar. The pair depreciates about 0.60% so far, reaching weekly lows right above 0.5820 and approaching four-month lows, at 0.5800The Greenback is outperforming its peers on Wednesday despite growing concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence. Trump escalated his war against the bank this week, ordering the ousting of governor Lisa Cook, who rejected the order and announced a lawsuit against the president. More to come in the Trump-Fed saga.Concerns about Fed's independence might limit US Dollar's relliesThe US president has been attacking the central bank relentlessly over the last few months, accusing it of being too slow in easing its monetary policy. Trump’s attempt to fire Cook is the latest of a series of attacks intended to influence the committee’s decisions, which are eroding the market confidence in the bank’s independence.

Regarding macroeconomic data, US figures released on Tuesday provided further support to the US Dollar. Durable Goods Orders decline was shallower-than-expected, and Consumer Confidence did not deteriorate as much as forecasted, which improved investors’ impression about the outlook of US consumption and industrial activity.In New Zealand, investors will be looking to August’s Business Confidence and Private Capital Expenditure data to confirm the upbeat expectations triggered by the Retail Sales figures seen earlier this week. The Kiwi needs strong data to counter the dovish message from the latest RBNZ statement and help the pair to take some distance from current levels. New Zealand Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the New Zealand Dollar? The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country’s central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand’s biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand’s main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD. How do decisions of the RBNZ impact the New Zealand Dollar? The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors’ appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair. How does economic data influence the value of the New Zealand Dollar? Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar’s (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate. How does broader risk sentiment impact the New Zealand Dollar? The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called ‘commodity currencies’ such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.

The AUD/USD pair falls to near 0.6470 during the European trading session on Wednesday.

.fxs-event-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-event-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-event-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-event-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:12px}.fxs-event-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-event-module-header{color:#1b1c23;font-weight:700;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;line-height:20px;margin:0;padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;padding-right:32px}.fxs-event-module-header label{cursor:pointer;display:block}.fxs-event-module-header label:after,.fxs-event-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-event-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-event-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-event-module-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0;margin-top:8px}.fxs-event-module-content.why-matters{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-content.why-matters{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:17.6px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:20.8px;margin:4px 0 0 0}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title-description-wrapper{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;padding-bottom:16px;margin-bottom:16px}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar{padding:16px}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-section{padding:0}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-header{font-size:12.8px;line-height:17px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{display:flex;align-items:center;align-content:center;gap:4px;color:#e4871b;font-size:12.8px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:17px;text-decoration:none}.fxs-event-module-read-more svg{width:16px;height:16px}.fxs-event-module-read-more:hover span{text-decoration:underline}.fxs-event-module-release{margin:0;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:2px}.fxs-event-module-release>p{font-size:12.8px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;line-height:17px;margin:0}.fxs-event-module-release>p>strong{color:#8c8d91;font-weight:700}.fxs-event-module-release>p>span{color:#8c8d91;font-weight:400}.fxs-event-module-release>p>a{color:#e4871b;font-weight:700;text-decoration:none}.fxs-event-module-release>p>a:hover>span{text-decoration:underline}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-container{margin:16px 0 0 0;border-top:1px solid #ececf1;padding:12px 0 0 0}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-header{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-release p{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title{font-size:22.4px;line-height:25.6px}.fxs-event-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-event-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-event-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}AUD/USD drops to near 0.6470 as the US Dollar rises after Fed Cook’s lawsuit announcement.Investors expect Trump’s attempt to politicize Fed had dampened US Dollar’s dominance.Inflation in Australia grew at a faster-than-expected pace of 2.8% in July.The AUD/USD pair falls to near 0.6470 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The Aussie pair declines as the US Dollar (USD) attracts bids after Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook announced that she will file a lawsuit against her termination by United States (US) President Donald Trump on Monday.At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.44% higher to near 98.65.However, the outlook of the US Dollar has become uncertain as doubts among investors over the credibility of the Fed going forward have increased.Market experts believe that decisions on interest rates from Fed Cook’s replacement would be biased towards US President Trump’s economic agenda.On the economic front, investors await the US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for July, which will be released on Friday. The core PCE inflation data, which is closely tracked by Fed officials as it excludes volatile food and energy items, is expected to have grown at an annual pace of 2.9%, faster than the prior release of 2.8%.Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar fails to attract bids even as Australian Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July has come in stronger-than-projected. The inflation data rose at an annual pace of 2.8%, faster than expectations of 2.3% and the prior reading of 1.9%.  Economic Indicator Monthly Consumer Price Index (YoY) The Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a monthly basis, measures the changes in the price of a fixed basket of goods and services acquired by household consumers. The indicator was developed to provide inflation data at a higher frequency than the quarterly CPI. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to the same month a year earlier. A high reading is seen as bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD), while a low reading is seen as bearish. Read more. Last release: Wed Aug 27, 2025 01:30 Frequency: Monthly Actual: 2.8% Consensus: 2.3% Previous: 1.9% Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics
 

There has been a consistent and deliberate trend of setting the daily CNY fixing rate slightly stronger, but at a measured pace. USD/CNH was last seen at 7.1636 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

There has been a consistent and deliberate trend of setting the daily CNY fixing rate slightly stronger, but at a measured pace. USD/CNH was last seen at 7.1636 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Daily momentum shows signs of turning bearish"Over the past 96 days since mid-April 2025, the USD/CNY fixing rate has declined by approximately 1056 pips, averaging about 11 pips per fix. Historically, when spot-fix deviation widens, it was due to depreciation pressure in the RMB and consequently, the relatively stable fixing rates seen in early 2025, throughout 2024, and in late 2023 helped to limit RMB depreciation. However, this time, the deviation between spot and fix is driven by a lower USD/CNY fixing rate, suggesting a deliberate attempt to guide the USD/CNY spot downward, even as the spot remains above the fix." "A gradual appreciation in RMB, gain in domestic equity market can help restore investor confidence and encourage a return of foreign capital inflows. Over the past few weeks, we have also observed net foreign equity inflow into China. These factors, alongside Fed about to resume rate cut should continue to be positive for RMB. There could be further room for RMB to appreciate should China economy see more sustained stabilisation. ""Daily momentum shows signs of turning mild bearish while RSI fell to near oversold conditions. Key support at 7.1460 (61.8% fibo retracement of 2024 low to 2025 high). Decisive break below this support puts next support at 7.11, 7.08 levels (76.4% fibo). If USD/CNH does trade significantly lower, it will have spillover effect onto other USDAxJs. Meanwhile, resistance at 7.1770 (50 DMA), 7.1830 (21 DMA) and 7.200/30 levels (100 DMA, 50% fibo)."

At Jackson Hole last weekend, Governor Ueda spoke about wage growth spreading from large enterprises to SMEs and barring a major negative demand shock, he expects labour market in Japan to remain tight and to continue to exert upward pressure on wages.

At Jackson Hole last weekend, Governor Ueda spoke about wage growth spreading from large enterprises to SMEs and barring a major negative demand shock, he expects labour market in Japan to remain tight and to continue to exert upward pressure on wages. Pair was last at 147.90 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Bias to sell rallies"We opine that this keeps BoJ policy normalisation hopes alive. Data focus this week on Tokyo inflation (Friday) while moves in USD, treasury yields should continue to drive USD/JPY in the near term. But at the same time there is also some focus on the election review report, which was supposed to be released end Aug but has now been delayed to early September. This report is to inform the LDP on who will take responsibility for the upper house election setback in July." "There was media report earlier saying that PM Ishiba will step down in end-August, which he denied. Two days ago, PM Ishiba’s cabinet approval rating rose over 15ppts. For now, markets are not pricing in much for a move at the next meeting on 19 Sep and only fully pricing in a hike by Jan 2026. Political uncertainty sometimes hold back BoJ from a move. So, getting some clarity on PM Ishiba’s political career and if inflation data continues to come in hot alongside Fed turning more dovish, then we should well expect USD/JPY’s direction of travel to be skewed lower." "Bearish momentum on daily chart shows signs of fading while RSI is flat. 2-way trades likely in the interim, with bias to sell rallies. Resistance at 148.32 (23.6% fibo) and 149.10. Support at 146.70/90 (50 DMA, 38.2% fibo retracement of Apr low to Aug high), 145.40/50 levels (100 DMA, 50% fibo)."

The US Dollar is outperforming its rivals on Wednesday, unfazed by US President Trump’s attempts to influence the Federal Reserve’s decisions.

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Trump’s unprecedented attacks on the Federal Reserve’s independence have failed to dent the US Dollar’s strength. The US President attempted to fire Governor Cook, aiming to change the balance of the bank’s monetary policy committee to the dovish side by replacing her with a more dovish-leaning nominee.

Cook refused to resign, as she affirmed, the president has no authority to fire her, and announced a lawsuit against the president, which is likely to extend the conflict.

In the macroeconomic domain, US Durable Goods Orders and the Conference Board’s Consumer Sentiment index beat expectations, easing concerns about a sharp economic slowdown in the third quarter and providing additional support to the US Dollar.In Switzerland, the focus is on the second quarter’s Gross Domestic Product release, due on Thursday, which is expected to show some deceleration. These figures will be read from the perspective of SNB’s moneary policy and, in that sense, the risk is on a weaker-than-expected reading that might boost hopes of further monetary easing and send the Swiss Franc lower. Fed FAQs What does the Federal Reserve do, how does it impact the US Dollar? Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback. How often does the Fed hold monetary policy meetings? The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis. What is Quantitative Easing (QE) and how does it impact USD? In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar. What is Quantitative Tightening (QT) and how does it impact the US Dollar? Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.

Japanese Economy Minister and top trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa made some comments on Wednesday ahead of his visit to the United States (US) for trade negotiations.

.fxs-related-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-related-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{text-decoration:none;color:#1b1c23;font-weight:700;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;line-height:20px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a:hover,.fxs-related-module-related-link:hover,.fxs-related-module-related-link:hover a{color:#e4871b}.fxs-related-module-related-link a:hover{text-decoration:none}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-related-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}} Japanese Economy Minister and top trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa made some comments on Wednesday ahead of his visit to the United States (US) for trade negotiations.Key quotesWill visit the US from Thursday.

Will call for the US to issue an executive order to lower reciprocal auto tariffs. Related news  USD/JPY retreats from 147.95 with Fed’s independence into question  Japan’s Kato: Alarmed over FX moves, including those driven by speculators JPY: Still hoping for wages – Commerzbank

President Trump’s firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook and the broad view that this marks further politicisation of the Fed are negative for the dollar. Yet, the FX reaction has been muted and may only play out in the longer run, likely for two reasons.

President Trump’s firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook and the broad view that this marks further politicisation of the Fed are negative for the dollar. Yet, the FX reaction has been muted and may only play out in the longer run, likely for two reasons. First, Cook is challenging the decision, which will probably end up in court. Second, her departure won’t have a big impact on the next few meetings. With Powell still in charge, markets expect policy to remain data-driven, and the dovish dissent remains too small to push for faster or larger cuts, ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.USD to stabilise after solid Tuesday data "The real consequences of FOMC politicisation are likely to appear post-Powell – after May 2026 – assuming Trump doesn’t remove him earlier. By then, a new chair with dovish leanings would need committee support to move on cuts, but that’s too far out for markets to price in. Also, the new chair’s easing scope will be limited if Powell lowers rates by 100bp to around 3.5% by then, as markets expect. The most visible market impact so far has been the underperformance of 30-year Treasuries.""It’s reasonable to expect headlines on Cook’s firing to lose impact over time, as has happened with similar episodes since Trump took office. Trump’s unpredictability on many fronts – including Fed relations – has made markets increasingly reluctant to stray from the narrative set by data and official communication. Reports this morning that the White House is seeking more influence over regional Fed president picks had little effect.""We expect the dollar to stabilise after solid data yesterday – consumer confidence and durable goods orders beat consensus – and given today’s light calendar. The week’s focus will shift to GDP revisions and July’s core PCE on Thursday and Friday."

Euro (EUR) continued to trade restraint.

Euro (EUR) continued to trade restraint. French PM Bayrou said he would call for a confidence vote on budget (not government) on 8 Sept in an effort to force political parties to take a position on the government’s budget proposals in parliament rather than through street protests planned for later that week. EUR was last at 1.1622 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. 2-way trades still likely"The budget risk was supposed to come later in Oct but PM’s call to vote on 8 Sep means the national assembly has to make an earlier return from their 2months recess (which was supposed to run till 22 Sep). Last year, a no-confidence vote gamble (although not on budget) saw the exit of former PM Barnier. This is one risk to watch for implication on EUR as any misstep may lead to another election." "Constitutionally this is possible as France can hold another legislative election after the 1y lock-up period ended in July 2025. Prediction markets already have 90% vote that the current PM will be out by end-Dec. Another political instability unfolding may temporarily weigh on EUR but broader fundamentals should still support EUR, on a buy on dips." "Daily momentum and RSI indicators are not showing a clear bias. 2-way trades still likely. Support at 1.1610/50 levels (21, 50 DMAs) and 1.1570 levels. Resistance at 1.1730, 1.18 levels."

Steel inventories at major Chinese Steel mills rose for a second consecutive week to 15.7mt in mid-August, up 4% compared to early August, according to the China Iron and Steel Association (CISA), ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note.

Steel inventories at major Chinese Steel mills rose for a second consecutive week to 15.7mt in mid-August, up 4% compared to early August, according to the China Iron and Steel Association (CISA), ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note.Copper production at Las Bambas mine is up 67% YoY"Still, Steel inventories are 4.8% lower year on year. Crude Steel production at major mills rose by 2% from early August to 2.12mt/d in mid-August, as healthy Steel margins encouraged higher output.""Chinese semi-finished Steel exports surged significantly by 320% YoY to 7.4mt in the first seven months of the year, according to Chinese Customs. This was largely driven by strong demand from Southeast Asia and the Middle East. In July alone, shipments exceeded 1.5mt (14% of total global Steel exports).""In Copper, Chinese miner MMG Ltd. increased Copper production at its Las Bambas mine to 210kt in the first half of 2025, up 67% YoY, as improved relations with local communities helped to avoid unexpected stoppages. The mine is projected to produce 400kt of Copper ore in 2025, representing 77% of MMG’s total Copper production target for the year."

Citing people familiar with the matter, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday that the European Union (EU) is looking to quicken its move to pass the legislation to remove all tariffs on US industrial goods.

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Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data.

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The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, stood at 88.23 on Wednesday, up from 87.90 on Tuesday. Silver FAQs Why do people invest in Silver? Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets. Which factors influence Silver prices? Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices. How does industrial demand affect Silver prices? Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices. How do Silver prices react to Gold’s moves? Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver. (An automation tool was used in creating this post.)

Another indication that French politics is having a limited FX impact is EUR/GBP, which has faced only limited downside pressure since the start of the week, ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.

Another indication that French politics is having a limited FX impact is EUR/GBP, which has faced only limited downside pressure since the start of the week, ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes. A structural break above 1.35 is a matter of when"That said, the balance of risks remains more tilted to the downside for the pair, with the hawkish repricing in Bank of England rate expectations still underpinning decent GBP short-term momentum.""A test of 0.860 remains possible, even though our longer-term view is less optimistic on GBP given the possibility of a dovish rethink of BoE cuts later in the autumn. In GBP/USD, we still think a structural break above 1.35 is a matter of when rather than if."

USD/TRY breached the 41.0 level this week amid media and policymaker commentary about positive developments on the economic front. The lira exchange rate versus a 50-50 basket of USD and EUR is depreciating at faster than 40% annualised.

USD/TRY breached the 41.0 level this week amid media and policymaker commentary about positive developments on the economic front. The lira exchange rate versus a 50-50 basket of USD and EUR is depreciating at faster than 40% annualised. Just before USD/TRY breached 41.0, policymakers had formally ended the FX-protected deposit scheme (KKM), halting new account openings as of 23 August. Existing balances of about $11bn will mature by year-end, with the heaviest redemption anticipated in October, Commerzbank's FX analyst Tatha Ghose notes. Underlying inflation momentum is nowhere near target yetThe programme was one of the costliest experiments in Turkey’s economic history, accumulating a fiscal burden of roughly $60bn. Shutting KKM is politically and symbolically significant, because it was a signature ‘soft capital control’ and its end represents a step towards exit from unconventional policies. From a market point of view though, we do not anticipate any positive impact. It does not surprise us that USD/TRY breached an important level right after these announcements. First, the ending of KKM had been promised by policymakers and anticipated by the market. Secondly, the availability of KKM might have boosted the lira in a short-term technical sense. Last but not least, investors are unlikely to specially reward a reform that undoes a recently introduced distortion.""Meanwhile, risks in the corporate sector could be moving in the opposite direction: we recently received data that the net FX deficit of non-financial corporates widened by 4.7%m/m to $185.8bn in June, hitting the widest deficit since 2018. Turkey’s short-term FX surplus contracted by nearly a third, leaving firms more exposed to swings in the exchange rate. On the surface, external buffers appear healthier. Gross international reserves have rebounded strongly. FX reserves have recovered from their Q1 low, but stand only at around $77bn (they used to be $90bn in January); reserves (net of swaps) stand at $45.2bn. In other words, there has been some rebound since the dip induced by the political volatility of February-March, but the rebound only partly made up for the decline.""In conclusion, investors may be cheering a couple of months of modest inflation deceleration and other good news. But, challenges lie ahead. Underlying inflation momentum is nowhere near target yet, and some imbalances – for example, the trade deficit – are worsening once again. Against this background, we anticipate the exchange rate to keep depreciating at a fast pace."

Dow Jones futures remain steady near 45,500 during European hours on Wednesday, ahead of the opening of the United States (US) regular markets. Moreover, the S&P 500 futures and the Nasdaq 100 futures hold ground near 6,480 and 23,590, respectively.

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Moreover, the S&P 500 futures and the Nasdaq 100 futures hold ground near 6,480 and 23,590, respectively.US stock futures move little as traders adopt caution ahead of Nvidia’s earnings release. Expectations are elevated, with Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) shares having gained almost 34% year-to-date. After hours, MongoDB +30% and Okta +5% on AI-driven demand; Cracker Barrel +7% after scrapping logo amid backlash.In the previous regular US session, the Dow increased 0.3%, the S&P 500 grew 0.41% and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.44%. US stock markets gained ground as traders digested the escalating feud between US President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve (Fed).Fed Governor Lisa Cook is expected to file a lawsuit challenging her removal by President Trump. Trump said, at a Cabinet meeting Tuesday, that he would abide by the court’s decision but signaled little concern over Cook’s challenge.Stock markets may receive further support as the dismissal of Fed Governor Cook could increase the likelihood of heavy interest rate cuts, given Trump’s ongoing pressure on the central bank to reduce borrowing costs.The CME FedWatch tool indicates pricing in more than 87% odds for a cut of at least a quarter-point at the Fed’s September meeting, up from 84% previous day. The upcoming release of the Q2 US Gross Domestic Product Annualized and July Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data will be eyed later this week. AI stocks FAQs What is artificial intelligence? First and foremost, artificial intelligence is an academic discipline that seeks to recreate the cognitive functions, logical understanding, perceptions and pattern recognition of humans in machines. Often abbreviated as AI, artificial intelligence has a number of sub-fields including artificial neural networks, machine learning or predictive analytics, symbolic reasoning, deep learning, natural language processing, speech recognition, image recognition and expert systems. The end goal of the entire field is the creation of artificial general intelligence or AGI. This means producing a machine that can solve arbitrary problems that it has not been trained to solve. What are AI applications? There are a number of different use cases for artificial intelligence. The most well-known of them are generative AI platforms that use training on large language models (LLMs) to answer text-based queries. These include ChatGPT and Google’s Bard platform. Midjourney is a program that generates original images based on user-created text. Other forms of AI utilize probabilistic techniques to determine a quality or perception of an entity, like Upstart’s lending platform, which uses an AI-enhanced credit rating system to determine credit worthiness of applicants by scouring the internet for data related to their career, wealth profile and relationships. Other types of AI use large databases from scientific studies to generate new ideas for possible pharmaceuticals to be tested in laboratories. YouTube, Spotify, Facebook and other content aggregators use AI applications to suggest personalized content to users by collecting and organizing data on their viewing habits. What are some stocks that fit into the AI field? Nvidia (NVDA) is a semiconductor company that builds both the AI-focused computer chips and some of the platforms that AI engineers use to build their applications. Many proponents view Nvidia as the pick-and-shovel play for the AI revolution since it builds the tools needed to carry out further applications of artificial intelligence. Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is a “big data” analytics company. It has large contracts with the US intelligence community, which uses its Gotham platform to sift through data and determine intelligence leads and inform on pattern recognition. Its Foundry product is used by major corporations to track employee and customer data for use in predictive analytics and discovering anomalies. Microsoft (MSFT) has a large stake in ChatGPT creator OpenAI, the latter of which has not gone public. Microsoft has integrated OpenAI’s technology with its Bing search engine. Could artificial intelligence generate another stock bubble? Following the introduction of ChatGPT to the general public in late 2022, many stocks associated with AI began to rally. Nvidia for instance advanced well over 200% in the six months following the release. Immediately, pundits on Wall Street began to wonder whether the market was being consumed by another tech bubble. Famous investor Stanley Druckenmiller, who has held major investments in both Palantir and Nvidia, said that bubbles never last just six months. He said that if the excitement over AI did become a bubble, then the extreme valuations would last at least two and a half years or long like the DotCom bubble in the late 1990s. At the midpoint of 2023, the best guess is that the market is not in a bubble, at least for now. Yes, Nvidia traded at 27 times forward sales at that time, but analysts were predicting extremely high revenue growth for years to come. At the height of the DotCom bubble, the NASDAQ 100 traded for 60 times earnings, but in mid-2023 the index traded at 25 times earnings.

US Dollar (USD) continued to trade on the backfoot, from news of Trump removing Fed Governor Lisa Cook from her position. DXY last at 98.65 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

US Dollar (USD) continued to trade on the backfoot, from news of Trump removing Fed Governor Lisa Cook from her position. DXY last at 98.65 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Mild bearish momentum on daily chart fades"It remains unclear if Trump has his way because Lisa Cook indicated her intent to challenge Trump’s decision in courts. Regardless, the decline in USD reflects concerns over Fed independence and potentially, how the make-up of the Fed may be more dovish leaning going forward. This can skew the votes for cut and ultimately weigh on USD. But USD bears need weak US data or more dovish Fed rhetoric." "We will be keeping a lookout on whether data or Fedspeaks changes the narrative from 25bp cut expectation to discussion of 50bp cut at Sep FOMC or whether the trajectory of cut increases. For now, markets are still pricing in 86% chance of 25bp cut at September FOMC and a total of about 55bps cut this year." "Mild bearish momentum on daily chart faded while RSI was flat. 2-way trades likely in the interim. Resistance at 98.90 (100 DMA), 99.60 levels. Support at 97.60 levels. Data focus on core PCE (Fri) before NFP (next Fri)."

The US Dollar is posting moderate gains against the Loonie on Wednesday.

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The US Dollar is posting moderate gains against the Loonie on Wednesday. Still, it remains trapped within the weekly range, roughly between 1.3820 and 1.3870, with all eyes on the standoff between US President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve.

Investors, so far, are shrugging off concerns about the consequences of the unprecedented attempts by a US president to influence the central bank’s decisions. The market might be awaiting developments on Governor Cook´s lawsuit over Trump’s attempts to fire her.Upbeat US data, low Crude prices support the GreenbackOn the macroeconomic front, US data released on Tuesday showed better-than-expected Durable Goods Orders in July, indicating resilient industrial activity. Somewhat later, the Conference Board’s Consumer Sentiment Index deteriorated less than expected, which provided some support to the US Dollar.

Also on Tuesday, the Governor of the Bank of  Canada, Tiff Macklem, called for more flexibility in the rate-setting framework to respond to the changes in the global economic context and dismissed a revision of the 2% inflation target.

Crude Oil, Canada’s main export, remains depressed despite Trump’s threats to Russia for pushing back peace talks with Ukraine. The US benchmark WTI has depreciated more than 2.5% from Monday’s highs, returning to levels below $63.00, adding bearish pressure on the Canadian Dollar. Canadian Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the Canadian Dollar? The key factors driving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) are the level of interest rates set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), the price of Oil, Canada’s largest export, the health of its economy, inflation and the Trade Balance, which is the difference between the value of Canada’s exports versus its imports. Other factors include market sentiment – whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) – with risk-on being CAD-positive. As its largest trading partner, the health of the US economy is also a key factor influencing the Canadian Dollar. How do the decisions of the Bank of Canada impact the Canadian Dollar? The Bank of Canada (BoC) has a significant influence on the Canadian Dollar by setting the level of interest rates that banks can lend to one another. This influences the level of interest rates for everyone. The main goal of the BoC is to maintain inflation at 1-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively higher interest rates tend to be positive for the CAD. The Bank of Canada can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former CAD-negative and the latter CAD-positive. How does the price of Oil impact the Canadian Dollar? The price of Oil is a key factor impacting the value of the Canadian Dollar. Petroleum is Canada’s biggest export, so Oil price tends to have an immediate impact on the CAD value. Generally, if Oil price rises CAD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Oil falls. Higher Oil prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance, which is also supportive of the CAD. How does inflation data impact the value of the Canadian Dollar? While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for a currency since it lowers the value of money, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Higher inflation tends to lead central banks to put up interest rates which attracts more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in Canada’s case is the Canadian Dollar. How does economic data influence the value of the Canadian Dollar? Macroeconomic data releases gauge the health of the economy and can have an impact on the Canadian Dollar. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the CAD. A strong economy is good for the Canadian Dollar. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the Bank of Canada to put up interest rates, leading to a stronger currency. If economic data is weak, however, the CAD is likely to fall.

Oil prices were unable to extend their 4-day run of gains, with ICE Brent coming under pressure yesterday to settle 2.3% lower. There was no single catalyst for yesterday’s move.

Oil prices were unable to extend their 4-day run of gains, with ICE Brent coming under pressure yesterday to settle 2.3% lower. There was no single catalyst for yesterday’s move. However, the recent run-up in the market was starting to become increasingly detached from fundamentals, which are more bearish, ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note.Secondary tariffs haven't been enough to stop India from buying Russian Oil"US President Trump’s 25% secondary tariffs against India come into effect today, taking the total levy on US imports from India to 50%. The secondary tariff has not been enough to stop India from buying Russian Oil. Initially, secondary tariffs saw Indian refiners pause purchases. They have resumed purchases. The market will be watching Russian Oil flows to India closely going forward to gauge the impact, if any, of secondary tariffs.""Meanwhile, numbers from the American Petroleum Institute overnight were fairly neutral, with US crude Oil inventories falling by 1m barrels over the last week. Gasoline and distillate stocks saw declines, falling by 2.1m barrels and 1.5m barrels, respectively. The draw in distillate stocks was slightly supportive for the middle distillate market, particularly given that we are in a period where stocks usually grow." "Overall distillate stock levels remain below the seasonal 5-year average. The more widely followed Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly inventory report will be released later today."

The Euro (EUR) is not actively trading on the French political turmoil, but it’s likely facing some degree of restraint from it. French equities had another bad day, but what matters is OAT's performance.

The Euro (EUR) is not actively trading on the French political turmoil, but it’s likely facing some degree of restraint from it. French equities had another bad day, but what matters is OAT's performance. The euro’s correlation with EU bond spreads to German bunds tends to be either very low most of the time or quite high for short bursts. For Italian bonds, the pain threshold was around 200bp; for French bonds, we don’t have enough history to be sure, but a break above December’s high of 90bp (currently 77bp) can trigger a significant euro reaction, ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.EUR/USD can ultimately make its way back to 1.170"Such a move would suggest fiscal concerns are outweighing political instability. The latter seems largely priced into the OAT risk premium, given that politically stable Italy is trading at almost the same 10-year yield despite a BBB+ rating.""Markets are still making up their minds about the aftermath of the upcoming confidence vote and don’t seem in a rush to price snap elections as the baseline scenario. The alternative – this or a new government watering down spending cuts enough to gather parliamentary support and deliver some fiscal consolidation – is plausible, though admittedly a relatively narrow path given the heightened scrutiny it faces.""Anyway, markets appear to have absorbed the initial bad news and might stabilise ahead of the actual vote on 8 September. We think EUR/USD can hold above 1.160 and ultimately make its way back to 1.170."

Gold price (XAU/USD) depreciates after registering more than three-quarters of losses in the previous session, trading around $3,380 per troy ounce during the European hours on Wednesday.

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The price of the dollar-denominated Gold struggles as the US Dollar (USD) shows resilience despite rising concerns over the United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) independence.However, the Gold price may regain its ground due to increased safe-haven demand. Traders assess the latest headlines surrounding the escalating feud between US President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve.Fed Governor Lisa Cook will reportedly file a lawsuit challenging her removal by US President Donald Trump. While speaking at a Cabinet meeting on Tuesday, Trump noted that he is prepared to abide by any court decision but indicated he was not concerned about Cook’s challenge.Non-interest-bearing assets, including Gold, may attract buyers as the dismissal of Fed Governor Cook could increase the likelihood of heavy interest rate cuts, given Trump’s ongoing pressure on the central bank to reduce borrowing costs. It is worth noting that lower interest rates could prompt investors to pick precious metals to gain better returns.Traders are now pricing in more than 87% odds for a cut of at least a quarter-point at the Fed’s September meeting, up from 84% previous day, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Focus will shift toward the upcoming release of the Q2 US Gross Domestic Product Annualized and July Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, due later this week. Gold FAQs Why do people invest in Gold? Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government. Who buys the most Gold? Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves. How is Gold correlated with other assets? Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal. What does the price of Gold depend on? The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

Silver’s (XAG/USD) accelerates its reversal from last week’s highs right above $39.00, to levels below $38.50, with bears testing support at Tuesday’s low of $39.35, amid a broad-based US Dollar strength on Wednesday.The US Dollar Index, which measures the value of the US Dollar against the world’s

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The US Dollar Index, which measures the value of the US Dollar against the world’s most-traded currencies, appreciates for the fourth consecutive day. The Greenback is drawing support from a weak Euro amid market concerns about the consequences of a highly likely collapse of the French government.

The market, so far, is shrugging off concerns about Trump’s attempts to compromise the Federal Reserve’s independence and rising hopes of immediate Fed cuts, which leaves precious metals on the defensive.Technical Analysis: $38.35 support is a key level for bearsFrom a technical point of view, the XAG/USD pair shows a bearish correction from the one-month highs at $39.07 hit last Friday, with price action testing support at $38.35 (August 25 and 26 lows)A successful break of this level would push the 4-Hour RSI below the key 50 level, increasing bearish momentum and bringing the August 22 low, at $37.70, into play. Further down the bottom of the ascending channel is now around $37.25.To the upside, the intraday high at $37.875 and Tuesday’s high at $37.85 are likely to challenge bulls ahead of the August 22 high, at $39.10, and the July 22 high, at $39.55. Silver FAQs Why do people invest in Silver? Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets. Which factors influence Silver prices? Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices. How does industrial demand affect Silver prices? Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices. How do Silver prices react to Gold’s moves? Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

The Indian Rupee is expected to see more downside against the US Dollar (USD) as increased tariffs on imports from India to the United States (US) are set to come into effect at 12:01 AM EDT or 09:31 PM IST.

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On Tuesday, the USD/INR ended marginally higher at 87.77.A letter by the US Homeland Security confirmed in early trade on Tuesday, stating that Washington will impose an additional 25% tariff on all Indian-origin goods, resulting in a total of 50% reciprocal duty.Earlier this month, US President Donald Trump penalized India by increasing tariffs to 50% for buying Oil from Russia. Washington accused New Delhi of buying Russian Oil, stating that their money is funding Moscow’s defence and equipment to continue attacks on Ukraine.In response, New Delhi released a six-point note stating that Trump’s tariffs are “unjustified and unreasonable”, and India will take all necessary steps to protect its interests and economic security.The impact of US tariffs on India is expected to be severe on domestic exporters. Higher tariffs on Indian products by the US would weaken their competitiveness in the global market, which would force them to compromise on their selling price to withstand competition.USD/INR technical analysisUSD/INR closed at 87.77 on Tuesday, which is 0.55% lower than its all-time high of 88.25.The near-term trend of the pair remains bullish as it holds above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades near 8742.The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) rises above 60.00. A fresh bullish momentum would emerge if the RSI holds above that level.Looking down, the July 28 low around 86.55 will act as key support for the major. On the upside, the August 5 high around 88.25 will be a critical hurdle for the pair.  Indian Rupee FAQs What are the key factors driving the Indian Rupee? The Indian Rupee (INR) is one of the most sensitive currencies to external factors. The price of Crude Oil (the country is highly dependent on imported Oil), the value of the US Dollar – most trade is conducted in USD – and the level of foreign investment, are all influential. Direct intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in FX markets to keep the exchange rate stable, as well as the level of interest rates set by the RBI, are further major influencing factors on the Rupee. How do the decisions of the Reserve Bank of India impact the Indian Rupee? The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) actively intervenes in forex markets to maintain a stable exchange rate, to help facilitate trade. In addition, the RBI tries to maintain the inflation rate at its 4% target by adjusting interest rates. Higher interest rates usually strengthen the Rupee. This is due to the role of the ‘carry trade’ in which investors borrow in countries with lower interest rates so as to place their money in countries’ offering relatively higher interest rates and profit from the difference. What macroeconomic factors influence the value of the Indian Rupee? Macroeconomic factors that influence the value of the Rupee include inflation, interest rates, the economic growth rate (GDP), the balance of trade, and inflows from foreign investment. A higher growth rate can lead to more overseas investment, pushing up demand for the Rupee. A less negative balance of trade will eventually lead to a stronger Rupee. Higher interest rates, especially real rates (interest rates less inflation) are also positive for the Rupee. A risk-on environment can lead to greater inflows of Foreign Direct and Indirect Investment (FDI and FII), which also benefit the Rupee. How does inflation impact the Indian Rupee? Higher inflation, particularly, if it is comparatively higher than India’s peers, is generally negative for the currency as it reflects devaluation through oversupply. Inflation also increases the cost of exports, leading to more Rupees being sold to purchase foreign imports, which is Rupee-negative. At the same time, higher inflation usually leads to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raising interest rates and this can be positive for the Rupee, due to increased demand from international investors. The opposite effect is true of lower inflation.

FX option expiries for Aug 27 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.

FX option expiries for Aug 27 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.EUR/USD: EUR amounts1.1485 1.4b1.1500 3.7b1.1550 2.8b1.1630 980m1.1650 3.2b1.1660 1.7b1.1700 1.9b1.1750 1.5bUSD/JPY: USD amounts                                 147.50 1.1b148.00 1.9bGBP/USD: GBP amounts1.3300 1.1b1.3350 1.3b1.3575 1.1bUSD/CAD: USD amounts       1.3690 1.5bAUD/USD: AUD amounts0.6520 1.1b0.6525 990mNZD/USD: NZD amounts0.5900 590m

Austria UniCredit Bank Manufacturing PMI increased to 49.1 in August from previous 48.2

Switzerland ZEW Survey – Expectations down to -53.8 in August from previous 2.4

GBP/JPY gains ground after registering losses in the previous session, trading around 198.80 during the European hours on Wednesday. The currency cross appreciates as the Pound Sterling (GBP) receives support as traders expect the Bank of England (BoE) to avoid further rate cuts.

.fxs-major-currency-prices-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:8px 16px}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table{width:100%;text-align:center;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:1rem}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table th{background-color:#f2f2f2}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td{color:#fff}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.green{background-color:#9cd6cd}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.red{background-color:#faafb5}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.blue-grey{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-legend{font-size:11px;margin:8px;color:#49494f}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.dark-green{background-color:#39ad9a}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-green{background-color:#9cd6cd}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.gray{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-red{background-color:#faafb5}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.strong-red{background-color:#f55e6a}GBP/JPY gains ground amid easing likelihood of further rate cuts by the BoE.BoE’s Mann favors maintaining higher interest rates to curb inflation risks.Japan’s Akazawa Ryosei will return to the United States on Thursday for talks.GBP/JPY gains ground after registering losses in the previous session, trading around 198.80 during the European hours on Wednesday. The currency cross appreciates as the Pound Sterling (GBP) receives support as traders expect the Bank of England (BoE) to avoid further rate cuts. The market caution is attributed to the persistent inflationary pressures.Catherine Mann, a member of the BoE Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), said on Tuesday that the bank rate should be held persistently to lean against inflation risks. She also stated, “I stand ready for a forceful policy action, in the form of larger, more rapid Bank Rate cuts, should the downside risks to domestic demand start materializing.”The upside of the GBP/JPY cross could be limited as the Japanese Yen (JPY) could gain ground amid increasing stability in Japanese domestic politics, amid improving public approval. Yomiuri newspaper public opinion poll showed on Monday a 20% rise in support for Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba despite his ruling coalition losing its majority in July's parliamentary election.Asahi TV reported on Wednesday that Japan's head trade negotiator, Akazawa Ryosei, is heading back to the United States (US) on Thursday to discuss Japanese investment in the US. Traders await upcoming economic releases later this week, including Japan's Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), Retail Trade data due on Friday, which could shape expectations for BoJ policy outlook. Pound Sterling Price Today The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar. USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF USD 0.35% 0.21% 0.30% 0.07% 0.22% 0.44% 0.24% EUR -0.35% -0.13% -0.12% -0.32% -0.20% 0.08% -0.16% GBP -0.21% 0.13% 0.06% -0.15% 0.04% 0.25% 0.02% JPY -0.30% 0.12% -0.06% -0.18% -0.08% 0.17% 0.02% CAD -0.07% 0.32% 0.15% 0.18% 0.15% 0.41% 0.17% AUD -0.22% 0.20% -0.04% 0.08% -0.15% 0.28% 0.03% NZD -0.44% -0.08% -0.25% -0.17% -0.41% -0.28% -0.23% CHF -0.24% 0.16% -0.02% -0.02% -0.17% -0.03% 0.23% The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades in a tight range around 1.3460 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Wednesday.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}The Pound Sterling consolidates around 1.3460 against the US Dollar on Wednesday.Fed’s Cook announces that she will file a lawsuit against her termination by US President Trump.BoE’s Mann expressed a hawkish stance on interest rate guidance.The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades in a tight range around 1.3460 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Wednesday. The GBP/USD pair consolidates as the US Dollar trades broadly stable, following the announcement from Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook that she will file a lawsuit against her termination by United States (US) President Donald Trump.At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, ticks up to near 98.40.On Tuesday, Fed Cook’s lawyer said in a statement, “His [Trump] attempt to fire her, based solely on a referral letter, lacks any factual or legal basis. We will be filing a lawsuit challenging this illegal action,” Reuters reported.Regardless of the outcome of the lawsuit filed by Fed Governor Cook, market experts believe that Trump’s attempt to politicize the Fed is a big threat to the US Dollar’s dominance. "Investors will naturally start to increasingly question the independence of the Fed, which would result in a steeper yield curve and a weaker dollar,” analysts at ING said, Reuters reported.Experts also believe that the entry of one more of Trump’s guys into the rate-setting committee would strengthen the bid for more interest rate cuts in the near term.According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is an 87% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in the September monetary policy meeting.Pound Sterling trades calmly on BoE Mann’s hawkish remarksThe Pound Sterling trades broadly stable, on a calm day, on Wednesday as Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Catherine Mann has argued in favor of holding interest rates at their current levels for a longer period as inflation is proving to be persistent, until any downside risks to economic growth materialize."A more persistent hold on Bank Rate is appropriate right now, to maintain the tight - but not tighter - monetary policy stance needed to lean against inflation persistence persisting," Mann said on Tuesday in a speech at a conference to mark the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) 100th anniversary, Reuters reported.In the last three months, inflation in the United Kingdom (UK) has been accelerating at a faster pace. In July, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose at an annual pace of 3.8%, the highest level seen in almost 18 months.In the policy meeting earlier this month, the BoE reduced interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 4%, with a slim majority, and guided a “gradual and careful” monetary policy expansion.Going forward, the GBP/USD pair will be influenced by the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data for July, which will be released on Friday. The core PCE inflation data, which is closely tracked by Fed officials as it excludes volatile food and energy items, is expected to have grown at an annual pace of 2.9%, faster than the prior release of 2.8%.Technical Analysis: Pound Sterling consolidates around 1.3460The Pound Sterling trades sideways around 1.3460 against the US Dollar on Wednesday. The overall trend of the GBP/USD pair is bullish as it remains above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around 1.3186.The Cable is also forming an inverse Head and Shoulder (H&S) chart pattern, which leads to a bullish reversal after a corrective or downside move. The neckline of the H&S pattern is placed around 1.3580.The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates inside the 40.00-60.00 range, suggesting a sharp volatility contraction.Looking down, the August 11 low of 1.3400 will act as a key support zone. On the upside, the July 1 high near 1.3790 will act as a key barrier.  Pound Sterling FAQs What is the Pound Sterling? The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as ‘Cable’, which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the ‘Dragon’ as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE). How do the decisions of the Bank of England impact on the Pound Sterling? The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of “price stability” – a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects. How does economic data influence the value of the Pound? Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall. How does the Trade Balance impact the Pound? Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

The US Dollar pares gains after a three-day rally against the Japanese Yen, as investors ponder the consequences of US President Trump’s attempts to gain control of the Federal Reserve, and Governor Cook’s decision to sue the president.Trump’s unprecedented decision to oust Cook is just the latest e

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The US Dollar pares gains after a three-day rally against the Japanese Yen, as investors ponder the consequences of US President Trump’s attempts to gain control of the Federal Reserve, and Governor Cook’s decision to sue the president.

Trump’s unprecedented decision to oust Cook is just the latest episode in a harsh campaign by the US President to pressure the Federal Reserve to accelerate its monetary easing cycle. Growing doubts about Fed’s independence are punishing the USDWith Cook’s replacement, following the nomination of a loyal dove after Kugler's resignation, Trump is seeking to turn the bank’s consensus to the dovish side, in a maneuver that compromises the bank’s credibility and its ability to set an appropriate monetary policy.

Beyond that, the heightened market expectations that the US central bank will finally cut interest rates in September are increasing bearish pressure on the US Dollar.

The Yen, on the other hand, is drawing some support from recent comments by BoJ Governour, Kazuho Ueda, who warned about the inflationary impact of rising wages, boosting market hopes of a further interest rate hike in the coming months. The market is looking at the advanced Tokyo Consumer Sentiment Index data due on Thursday to confirm Ueda’s concern about inflation. A strong CPI reading would add pressure on the bank to tighten its monetary policy further and might provide additional support to the Yen.  Central banks FAQs What does a central bank do? Central Banks have a key mandate which is making sure that there is price stability in a country or region. Economies are constantly facing inflation or deflation when prices for certain goods and services are fluctuating. Constant rising prices for the same goods means inflation, constant lowered prices for the same goods means deflation. It is the task of the central bank to keep the demand in line by tweaking its policy rate. For the biggest central banks like the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the European Central Bank (ECB) or the Bank of England (BoE), the mandate is to keep inflation close to 2%. What does a central bank do when inflation undershoots or overshoots its projected target? A central bank has one important tool at its disposal to get inflation higher or lower, and that is by tweaking its benchmark policy rate, commonly known as interest rate. On pre-communicated moments, the central bank will issue a statement with its policy rate and provide additional reasoning on why it is either remaining or changing (cutting or hiking) it. Local banks will adjust their savings and lending rates accordingly, which in turn will make it either harder or easier for people to earn on their savings or for companies to take out loans and make investments in their businesses. When the central bank hikes interest rates substantially, this is called monetary tightening. When it is cutting its benchmark rate, it is called monetary easing. Who decides on monetary policy and interest rates? A central bank is often politically independent. Members of the central bank policy board are passing through a series of panels and hearings before being appointed to a policy board seat. Each member in that board often has a certain conviction on how the central bank should control inflation and the subsequent monetary policy. Members that want a very loose monetary policy, with low rates and cheap lending, to boost the economy substantially while being content to see inflation slightly above 2%, are called ‘doves’. Members that rather want to see higher rates to reward savings and want to keep a lit on inflation at all time are called ‘hawks’ and will not rest until inflation is at or just below 2%. Is there a president or head of a central bank? Normally, there is a chairman or president who leads each meeting, needs to create a consensus between the hawks or doves and has his or her final say when it would come down to a vote split to avoid a 50-50 tie on whether the current policy should be adjusted. The chairman will deliver speeches which often can be followed live, where the current monetary stance and outlook is being communicated. A central bank will try to push forward its monetary policy without triggering violent swings in rates, equities, or its currency. All members of the central bank will channel their stance toward the markets in advance of a policy meeting event. A few days before a policy meeting takes place until the new policy has been communicated, members are forbidden to talk publicly. This is called the blackout period. ,

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, August 27:

.fxs-major-currency-prices-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:8px 16px}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table{width:100%;text-align:center;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:1rem}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table th{background-color:#f2f2f2}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td{color:#fff}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.green{background-color:#9cd6cd}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.red{background-color:#faafb5}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.blue-grey{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-legend{font-size:11px;margin:8px;color:#49494f}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.dark-green{background-color:#39ad9a}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-green{background-color:#9cd6cd}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.gray{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-red{background-color:#faafb5}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.strong-red{background-color:#f55e6a} .fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}} Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, August 27:The action in financial markets remain relatively quiet early Wednesday as investors assess the latest headlines surrounding the escalating feud between United States (US) President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve. The economic calendar will not offer any high-impact data releases. Later in the American session, the US Treasury will hold a 5-year note auction. US Dollar Price This week The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this week. US Dollar was the strongest against the Euro. USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF USD 0.96% 0.46% 0.65% 0.16% 0.18% 0.54% 0.50% EUR -0.96% -0.49% -0.38% -0.79% -0.71% -0.42% -0.45% GBP -0.46% 0.49% -0.04% -0.30% -0.28% 0.08% 0.04% JPY -0.65% 0.38% 0.04% -0.41% -0.43% -0.03% -0.02% CAD -0.16% 0.79% 0.30% 0.41% 0.03% 0.41% 0.34% AUD -0.18% 0.71% 0.28% 0.43% -0.03% 0.36% 0.31% NZD -0.54% 0.42% -0.08% 0.03% -0.41% -0.36% -0.04% CHF -0.50% 0.45% -0.04% 0.02% -0.34% -0.31% 0.04% The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote). Fed Governor Lisa Cook will reportedly file a lawsuit challenging her removal by US President Donald Trump. While speaking at a Cabinet meeting on Tuesday, Trump noted that he is prepared to abide by any court decision but indicated he was not concerned about Cook’s challenge. He further noted that he already has somebody in mind as Cook's replacement, adding there will soon be a majority of rate-cut voters within the Fed.Meanwhile, the data from the US showed on Tuesday that the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index eased slightly to 97.4 in August from 98.7 in July. In this period, the Present Situation Index dropped by 1.6 points to 131.2, while the Expectations Index, which measures short-term expectations for income, economic activity, and employment, fell by 1.2 points to 74.8. After losing about 0.2% on Wednesday, the US Dollar (USD) Index stays in positive territory near 98.50 in the European morning on Wednesday.Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem noted late Tuesday that the BoC will not be revisiting its 2% inflation target for the foreseeable future, citing uncertainty around trade and ever-changing tariff policies from the US. USD/CAD fluctuates in a very tight range below 1.3850 after posting marginal losses on Tuesday.The data published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed on Wednesday that Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) jumped by 2.8% in the year to July, following a 1.9% increase reported in June. This reading surpassed the market expectation of 2.3%. After rising above 0.6500 during the Asian trading hours, AUD/USD lost its traction and was last seen trading in negative territory at around 0.6480.GfK Consumer Confidence Index in Germany declined to -23.6 in September from -21.7 in August, missing analysts' estimate of -21.5. In the meantime, the political drama in France escalates after French Prime Minister François Bayrou announced that a no-confidence vote will be held on September 8th. Political parties in France failed to agree on the 2026 budget, which aims to cut government spending by 44 billion Euros to restore fiscal balance. EUR/USD stays on the back foot and declines toward 1.1600 in the European morning on Wednesday.GBP/USD edges lower toward 1.3450 after posting small gains on Tuesday. USD/JPY trades in a narrow band below 148.00 in the European session on Wednesday. In the Asian session, July Unemployment Rate and Tokyo CPI data will be featured in the Japanese economic docket.Gold gathered bullish momentum in the American session on Tuesday and climbed to a two-week high above $3,390. XAU/USD corrects lower in the European morning and trades below $3,380. US Dollar FAQs What is the US Dollar? The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the ‘de facto’ currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world’s reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away. How do the decisions of the Federal Reserve impact the US Dollar? The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback. What is Quantitative Easing and how does it influence the US Dollar? In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar. What is Quantitative Tightening and how does it influence the US Dollar? Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar.

NZD/USD has trimmed its losses from the previous session, trading around 0.5850 during the early European hours on Wednesday.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}NZD/USD struggles as traders expect the RBNZ to deliver more rate cuts.Trump could impose a 200% tariff on Chinese goods if Beijing refuses to supply magnets to the US.Fed Governor Lisa Cook’s exit may boost the odds of earlier rate cuts.NZD/USD has trimmed its losses from the previous session, trading around 0.5850 during the early European hours on Wednesday. The pair depreciates as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) struggles amid prevailing sentiment of further policy easing by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), following last week’s rate cut.RBNZ Governor Christian Hawkesby noted that the policy outlook is guided by data, but emphasized that if businesses and consumers stay cautious and require additional support, it could warrant further measures.US President Donald Trump warned that impose a 200% tariff on Chinese goods if Beijing refuses to supply magnets to the United States (US), putting the fragile truce between the world’s two largest economies at risk. It is worth noting that any change in the Chinese economy could influence NZD as China and New Zealand are close trading partners.The downside of the AUD/NZD pair could be limited as the US Dollar may struggle from rising Fed concerns, along with a dovish tone surrounding the central bank’s policy outlook. Trump announced early Tuesday that he was removing Fed Governor Lisa Cook from her position on the Fed's board of directors. He also said that he was ready for a legal fight with Cook over falsified mortgage documents.The dismissal of Fed Governor Cook could increase the likelihood of heavy interest rate cuts, given Trump’s ongoing pressure on the central bank to reduce borrowing costs. Traders are now pricing in more than 87% odds for a cut of at least a quarter-point at the Fed’s September meeting, up from 84% previous day, according to the CME FedWatch tool. New Zealand Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the New Zealand Dollar? The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country’s central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand’s biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand’s main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD. How do decisions of the RBNZ impact the New Zealand Dollar? The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors’ appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair. How does economic data influence the value of the New Zealand Dollar? Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar’s (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate. How does broader risk sentiment impact the New Zealand Dollar? The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called ‘commodity currencies’ such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.

The EUR/GBP cross trades in negative territory near 0.8630 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Euro (EUR) weakens against the Pound Sterling (GBP) amid French political uncertainty as French Prime Minister (PM) François Bayrou might lose a confidence vote on September 9.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}EUR/GBP weakens to around 0.8630 in Wednesday’s early European session. French PM is expected to lose a confidence vote in September, weighing on the Euro. BoE’s Mann said a “more persistent hold on Bank Rate is appropriate right now.”The EUR/GBP cross trades in negative territory near 0.8630 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Euro (EUR) weakens against the Pound Sterling (GBP) amid French political uncertainty as French Prime Minister (PM) François Bayrou might lose a confidence vote on September 9.France is braced for a new political crisis as the minority government of François Bayrou appears almost certain to be toppled in a confidence vote next month, amid deep political divisions over an unpopular austerity budget and debt-reduction plan. This, in turn, could exert some selling pressure on the EUR. Additionally, the worse-than-expected German GfK Consumer Confidence Survey contributed to the shared currency’s downside. German GfK Consumer Confidence came in at -23.6 in September versus -21.7 prior (revised from -21.5). This figure came in below the market consensus of -21.5. Traders reduce odds of further Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts amid persistent inflationary pressures. BoE Monetary Policy Committee member Catherine Mann, the most hawkish voice, said on Tuesday that she saw a strong case to keep the interest rate on hold for a prolonged period, underscoring concerns at the UK central bank about persistent inflation.Her remarks came after an unexpected decision to cut interest rates earlier this month and data last week showing UK inflation hitting an 18-month high of 3.8%. Her hawkish comments provide some support to the GBP and create a headwind for the cross. Euro FAQs What is the Euro? The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%). What is the ECB and how does it impact the Euro? The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates – or the expectation of higher rates – will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde. How does inflation data impact the value of the Euro? Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB’s 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money. How does economic data influence the value of the Euro? Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone’s economy. How does the Trade Balance impact the Euro? Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls on Wednesday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $63.00 per barrel, down from Tuesday’s close at $63.16.Brent Oil Exchange Rate (Brent crude) is also shedding ground, trading at $66.58 after its previous daily close at $66.74.

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Brent Oil Exchange Rate (Brent crude) is also shedding ground, trading at $66.58 after its previous daily close at $66.74. WTI Oil FAQs What is WTI Oil? WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media. What factors drive the price of WTI Oil? Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa. How does inventory data impact the price of WTI Oil The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency. How does OPEC influence the price of WTI Oil? OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

Germany GfK Consumer Confidence Survey below forecasts (-21.5) in September: Actual (-23.6)

The EUR/JPY cross gains traction to near 171.85 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) softens against the Euro (EUR) amid the improved risk sentiment, which undermines the safe-haven currency.

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The Japanese Yen (JPY) softens against the Euro (EUR) amid the improved risk sentiment, which undermines the safe-haven currency. Investors await a series of economic reports that could shape expectations for Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy. Japan’s Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August is due later on Friday. Technically, EUR/JPY keeps the bullish vibe on the daily chart, with the price holding above the key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, further consolidation or temporary sell-off cannot be ruled out as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the midline. This suggests the neutral momentum in the near term. The first upside target to watch for the cross is seen at 172.67, the high of August 25. Extended gains could see a rally to 173.00, representing the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band and round mark. Further north, the next hurdle is located at 173.90, the high of July 28. On the other hand, the initial support level for the cross emerges at 171.12, the low of August 20. A breach of this level could expose 170.65, the lower limit of the Bollinger Band. The additional downside filter to watch is the 170.00 psychological level. EUR/JPY Daily Chart Japanese Yen FAQs What key factors drive the Japanese Yen? The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors. How do the decisions of the Bank of Japan impact the Japanese Yen? One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen. How does the differential between Japanese and US bond yields impact the Japanese Yen? Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential. How does broader risk sentiment impact the Japanese Yen? The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.

The USD/JPY pair trades 0.4% higher to near 148.00 during the late Asian trading session on Wednesday. The pair advances as the Japanese Yen (JPY) underperforms its peers amid uncertainty surrounding the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August, which is scheduled to be released on Friday.

.fxs-major-currency-prices-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:8px 16px}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table{width:100%;text-align:center;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:1rem}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table th{background-color:#f2f2f2}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td{color:#fff}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.green{background-color:#9cd6cd}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.red{background-color:#faafb5}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.blue-grey{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-legend{font-size:11px;margin:8px;color:#49494f}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.dark-green{background-color:#39ad9a}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-green{background-color:#9cd6cd}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.gray{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-red{background-color:#faafb5}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.strong-red{background-color:#f55e6a} .fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}USD/JPY advances as the Japanese Yen underperforms across the board.Economists expect Tokyo CPI ex. Fresh Food to have risen at a moderate pace of 2.5% on year in August.The US Dollar trades calmly as Fed’s Cook decides to file a lawsuit to keep her job.The USD/JPY pair trades 0.4% higher to near 148.00 during the late Asian trading session on Wednesday. The pair advances as the Japanese Yen (JPY) underperforms its peers amid uncertainty surrounding the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August, which is scheduled to be released on Friday. Japanese Yen Price Today The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the weakest against the US Dollar. USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF USD 0.22% 0.21% 0.37% 0.04% 0.11% 0.25% 0.12% EUR -0.22% -0.01% 0.09% -0.23% -0.18% -0.01% -0.14% GBP -0.21% 0.00% 0.14% -0.17% -0.06% 0.04% -0.09% JPY -0.37% -0.09% -0.14% -0.28% -0.27% -0.12% -0.18% CAD -0.04% 0.23% 0.17% 0.28% 0.07% 0.23% 0.09% AUD -0.11% 0.18% 0.06% 0.27% -0.07% 0.17% 0.03% NZD -0.25% 0.00% -0.04% 0.12% -0.23% -0.17% -0.13% CHF -0.12% 0.14% 0.09% 0.18% -0.09% -0.03% 0.13% The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote). Investors will closely monitor the Tokyo CPI data as it will influence market expectations for the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) monetary policy outlook. Tokyo CPI ex. Fresh Food is expected to have grown at an annual pace of 2.5%, slower than the prior reading of 2.9%. Signs of cooling price pressures would force traders to trim bets supporting interest rate hikes by the BoJ in the remainder of the year.Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) trades calmly as Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook has confirmed to file a lawsuit against her termination by United States (US) President Donald Trump over mortgage allegations.Financial market participants have seen the event as a serious attack on the Fed’s independence and Trump’s intention to politicize the central bank to fulfil his economic agenda. "The concern is the intent of the Trump administration: it’s not to preserve Fed integrity, it’s to install Trump’s own people at the Fed,” analysts at Capital.com said, Reuters reported.USD/JPY trades in an Ascending Triangle formation, which indicates a sharp volatility contraction. The upward-sloping border of the above-mentioned chart pattern is plotted from the April 22 low of 139.40, while the horizontal resistance is plotted from the March 28 high of 151.20.The asset strives to break above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around 147.90.The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates inside the 40.00-60.00 range, indicating a sideways trend.The pair would see more upside to near the psychological level of 150.00 and the March 28 high of 151.20 if it breaks above the August 22 high of 148.78.On the flip side, a reversal move by the pair below the July 24 low of 145.85 would pave the way for the July 7 low at 144.22, followed by the July 3 low of 143.45.USD/JPY daily chart 
US Dollar FAQs What is the US Dollar? The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the ‘de facto’ currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world’s reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away. How do the decisions of the Federal Reserve impact the US Dollar? The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback. What is Quantitative Easing and how does it influence the US Dollar? In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar. What is Quantitative Tightening and how does it influence the US Dollar? Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar.
   

Swiss Central Bank (SNB) Vice Chairman Antoine Martin said on Wednesday that the bar is higher for the central bank to move interest rates into negative territory than it would be to cut rates if they were still above zero, Reuters reported on Wednesday. 

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Current Swiss franc value is more down to Dollar being weak than stronger Franc.
The bar for taking rates into negative territory is higher than it is for cutting rates when above zero.
Past experience shows negative rates have worked.
However, they create more challenges for banks, investors, households.
We don't see risk of deflationary developments.
Inflation dynamics in Switzerland should not be dramatically disrupted by recent dollar movements.
We currently have no reason to increase or reduce gold holdings.
Bitcoin does not meet our criteria for assets.Market reactionAt the time of press, the USD/CHF pair was up 0.22% on the day at 0.8050. Swiss Franc FAQs What key factors drive the Swiss Franc? The Swiss Franc (CHF) is Switzerland’s official currency. It is among the top ten most traded currencies globally, reaching volumes that well exceed the size of the Swiss economy. Its value is determined by the broad market sentiment, the country’s economic health or action taken by the Swiss National Bank (SNB), among other factors. Between 2011 and 2015, the Swiss Franc was pegged to the Euro (EUR). The peg was abruptly removed, resulting in a more than 20% increase in the Franc’s value, causing a turmoil in markets. Even though the peg isn’t in force anymore, CHF fortunes tend to be highly correlated with the Euro ones due to the high dependency of the Swiss economy on the neighboring Eurozone. Why is the Swiss Franc considered a safe-haven currency? The Swiss Franc (CHF) is considered a safe-haven asset, or a currency that investors tend to buy in times of market stress. This is due to the perceived status of Switzerland in the world: a stable economy, a strong export sector, big central bank reserves or a longstanding political stance towards neutrality in global conflicts make the country’s currency a good choice for investors fleeing from risks. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen CHF value against other currencies that are seen as more risky to invest in. How do decisions of the Swiss National Bank impact the Swiss Franc? The Swiss National Bank (SNB) meets four times a year – once every quarter, less than other major central banks – to decide on monetary policy. The bank aims for an annual inflation rate of less than 2%. When inflation is above target or forecasted to be above target in the foreseeable future, the bank will attempt to tame price growth by raising its policy rate. Higher interest rates are generally positive for the Swiss Franc (CHF) as they lead to higher yields, making the country a more attractive place for investors. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken CHF. How does economic data influence the value of the Swiss Franc? Macroeconomic data releases in Switzerland are key to assessing the state of the economy and can impact the Swiss Franc’s (CHF) valuation. The Swiss economy is broadly stable, but any sudden change in economic growth, inflation, current account or the central bank’s currency reserves have the potential to trigger moves in CHF. Generally, high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence are good for CHF. Conversely, if economic data points to weakening momentum, CHF is likely to depreciate. How does the Eurozone monetary policy affect the Swiss Franc? As a small and open economy, Switzerland is heavily dependent on the health of the neighboring Eurozone economies. The broader European Union is Switzerland’s main economic partner and a key political ally, so macroeconomic and monetary policy stability in the Eurozone is essential for Switzerland and, thus, for the Swiss Franc (CHF). With such dependency, some models suggest that the correlation between the fortunes of the Euro (EUR) and the CHF is more than 90%, or close to perfect.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is recovering its recent losses and trading around 98.50 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

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Traders await the upcoming release of the Q2 US Gross Domestic Product Annualized and July Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.However, the upside of the US Dollar could be limited as traders remain cautious amid rising Fed concerns and the prospect of a more dovish Fed. US President Donald Trump announced early Tuesday that he was removing Fed Governor Lisa Cook from her position on the Fed's board of directors. Trump also said that he was ready for a legal fight with Cook over falsified mortgage documents.Trump has already nominated White House economist Stephen Miran to a temporary seat that expires in January and has suggested Miran could also be in the running for Cook’s position. Meanwhile, David Malpass, former World Bank president, is considered another potential candidate, per the Wall Street Journal.The exit of Fed Governor Cook may increase the chances of earlier interest rate cuts, given Trump’s ongoing pressure on the central bank to reduce borrowing costs. Traders are now pricing in more than 87% odds for a cut of at least a quarter-point at the Fed’s September meeting, up from 84% previous day, according to the CME FedWatch tool. US Dollar FAQs What is the US Dollar? The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the ‘de facto’ currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world’s reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away. How do the decisions of the Federal Reserve impact the US Dollar? The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback. What is Quantitative Easing and how does it influence the US Dollar? In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar. What is Quantitative Tightening and how does it influence the US Dollar? Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar.

The USD/CAD pair edges higher to near 1.3850 during the late Asian trading session on Wednesday. The Loonie pair gains marginally as the US Dollar (USD) ticks up, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) rising slightly to near 98.35.

.fxs-event-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-event-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-event-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-event-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:12px}.fxs-event-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-event-module-header{color:#1b1c23;font-weight:700;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;line-height:20px;margin:0;padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;padding-right:32px}.fxs-event-module-header label{cursor:pointer;display:block}.fxs-event-module-header label:after,.fxs-event-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-event-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-event-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-event-module-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0;margin-top:8px}.fxs-event-module-content.why-matters{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-content.why-matters{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:17.6px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:20.8px;margin:4px 0 0 0}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title-description-wrapper{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;padding-bottom:16px;margin-bottom:16px}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar{padding:16px}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-section{padding:0}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-header{font-size:12.8px;line-height:17px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{display:flex;align-items:center;align-content:center;gap:4px;color:#e4871b;font-size:12.8px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:17px;text-decoration:none}.fxs-event-module-read-more svg{width:16px;height:16px}.fxs-event-module-read-more:hover span{text-decoration:underline}.fxs-event-module-release{margin:0;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:2px}.fxs-event-module-release>p{font-size:12.8px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;line-height:17px;margin:0}.fxs-event-module-release>p>strong{color:#8c8d91;font-weight:700}.fxs-event-module-release>p>span{color:#8c8d91;font-weight:400}.fxs-event-module-release>p>a{color:#e4871b;font-weight:700;text-decoration:none}.fxs-event-module-release>p>a:hover>span{text-decoration:underline}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-container{margin:16px 0 0 0;border-top:1px solid #ececf1;padding:12px 0 0 0}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-header{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-release p{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title{font-size:22.4px;line-height:25.6px}.fxs-event-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-event-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-event-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}USD/CAD edges up as the US Dollar holds ground despite Fed Cook’s termination by US President Trump.Fed’s Cook decided to file a lawsuit to defend her termination.Investors await US-Canada trade talks and Canadian GDP data.The USD/CAD pair edges higher to near 1.3850 during the late Asian trading session on Wednesday. The Loonie pair gains marginally as the US Dollar (USD) ticks up, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) rising slightly to near 98.35.However, the outlook for the US Dollar is under pressure as market experts doubt the dominance of the Greenback on expectations that decision-making by United States (US) financial institutions is unlikely to be rational going forward.Concerns over the credibility of US institutions, especially the Federal Reserve (Fed), have escalated following Governor Lisa Cook’s termination by President Donald Trump over mortgage allegations.Fed’s Cook has decided to file a lawsuit against her termination to keep her job, and his attorney has said in a statement that Cook’s removal is not backed by factual evidence. "His attempt to fire her, based solely on a referral letter, lacks any factual or legal basis. We will be filing a lawsuit challenging this illegal action," Cook’s lawyer, prominent Washington attorney Abbe Lowell, said, Reuters reported.Meanwhile, investors brace for a sideways trend in the Canadian Dollar (CAD) ahead of trade discussions between Canada and the US.Earlier this week, Canadian cabinet minister Dominic LeBlanc fled Washington to meet US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to discuss trade concessions.The comments from Canada’s LeBlanc have signaled that he is confident about closing a trade agreement with the US. "We are looking, I hope, for an agreement that will put us in a better position than we are right now," LeBlanc said in a French-language radio program on Monday.On the domestic front, investors will focus on June and Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will be released on Friday.  Economic Indicator Gross Domestic Product (MoM) The Gross Domestic Product (GDP), released by Statistics Canada on a monthly and quarterly basis, is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced in Canada during a given period. The GDP is considered as the main measure of Canadian economic activity. The MoM reading compares economic activity in the reference month to the previous month. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while a low reading is seen as bearish. Read more. Next release: Fri Aug 29, 2025 12:30 Frequency: Monthly Consensus: 0.1% Previous: -0.1% Source:
 

Gold prices fell in India on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

.fxs-related-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-related-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{text-decoration:none;color:#1b1c23;font-weight:700;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;line-height:20px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a:hover,.fxs-related-module-related-link:hover,.fxs-related-module-related-link:hover a{color:#e4871b}.fxs-related-module-related-link a:hover{text-decoration:none}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-related-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}} .fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}} Gold prices fell in India on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet. The price for Gold stood at 9,518.02 Indian Rupees (INR) per gram, down compared with the INR 9,568.15 it cost on Tuesday. The price for Gold decreased to INR 111,016.40 per tola from INR 111,601.00 per tola a day earlier. Unit measure Gold Price in INR 1 Gram 9,518.02 10 Grams 95,180.80 Tola 111,016.40 Troy Ounce 296,043.90   2025 Gold Forecast Guide [PDF] Download your free copy of the 2025 Gold Forecast Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price loses traction despite concerns about the future of Fed independence Donald Trump said on Tuesday that he will soon have a “majority” of his own nominees on the Fed board of governors who will back his desire to cut the interest rates.  In response, Fed Governor Lisa Cook said Trump has no authority to fire her from the central bank, and she will not resign.  Trump said he was ready for a legal fight with Cook after he moved to oust her from her post following allegations that she falsified mortgage documents, per Bloomberg. "Overnight you had the news that Trump fired one of the Fed governors accused of mortgage fraud. It gave a little life to gold because the Fed's kind of been the driver in gold right now," said RJO Futures market strategist Bob Haberkorn. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signalled a possible interest rate cut at the US central bank's meeting in September, saying that risks to the job market were rising. Traders are now pricing in nearly an 85% chance for a cut of at least a quarter-point at the Fed’s September meeting, up from 75% last week, according to the CME FedWatch tool. FXStreet calculates Gold prices in India by adapting international prices (USD/INR) to the local currency and measurement units. Prices are updated daily based on the market rates taken at the time of publication. Prices are just for reference and local rates could diverge slightly.   Gold FAQs Why do people invest in Gold? Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government. Who buys the most Gold? Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves. How is Gold correlated with other assets? Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal. What does the price of Gold depend on? The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up. (An automation tool was used in creating this post.)

GBP/USD retraces its recent gains from the previous session, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

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The pair may regain its ground as the Pound Sterling (GBP) receives support from the dampened likelihood of further Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts, driven by persistent inflationary pressures. Inflation in the UK economy has been accelerating at a faster pace in recent months.Catherine Mann, a member of the BoE Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), said on Tuesday that the bank rate should be held persistently to lean against inflation risks. She also stated, “I stand ready for a forceful policy action, in the form of larger, more rapid Bank Rate cuts, should the downside risks to domestic demand start materializing.”The GBP/USD pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) recovers its recent losses from the previous session. However, the upside of the Greenback could be restrained as traders remain cautious amid rising Fed concerns and the prospect of a more dovish Fed.US President Donald Trump announced early Tuesday that he was removing Fed Governor Lisa Cook from her position on the Fed's board of directors. This is considered the first instance of a president firing a central bank governor in the Fed’s 111-year history. Trump also said that he was ready for a legal fight with Cook over falsified mortgage documents.Fed Governor Cook’s exit may increase the chances of earlier interest rate cuts, given Trump’s ongoing pressure on the central bank to reduce borrowing costs. Traders are now pricing in more than 87% odds for a cut of at least a quarter-point at the Fed’s September meeting, up from 84% previous day, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Pound Sterling FAQs What is the Pound Sterling? The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as ‘Cable’, which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the ‘Dragon’ as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE). How do the decisions of the Bank of England impact on the Pound Sterling? The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of “price stability” – a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects. How does economic data influence the value of the Pound? Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall. How does the Trade Balance impact the Pound? Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

The Silver price (XAG/USD) attracts some sellers to around $38.50 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The white metal retreats from a two-week low due to some profit-taking and a stronger US Dollar (USD).

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The white metal retreats from a two-week low due to some profit-taking and a stronger US Dollar (USD). Nonetheless, renewed concerns over the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence might cap the downside for XAG/USD. Traders continue to assess US President Donald Trump’s move to fire Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook. Late Tuesday, Trump said that he will soon have a “majority” of his own nominees on the Fed board of governors who will back his desire to cut the interest rates. In response, Fed Governor Lisa Cook said Trump has no authority to fire her from the central bank, and she will not resign. Trump’s action to fire Cook is seen as an effort to exert control over the Federal Reserve and potentially influence monetary policy, raising concerns over the central bank’s independence. This, in turn, could weigh on the Greenback and lift the USD-denominated commodity price. Furthermore, rising bets of a Fed rate cut next month could underpin the white metal. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has opened the door to a rate reduction in the September meeting, but that position could become complicated if inflation pressures continue to rise. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Silver, supporting the non-yielding white metal. All eyes will be on the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report for July, which is due later on Friday. If the reports show a hotter-than-expected inflation outcome, this could limit the Fed’s ability to lower rates, supporting the USD and dragging the Silver price lower.  Silver FAQs Why do people invest in Silver? Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets. Which factors influence Silver prices? Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices. How does industrial demand affect Silver prices? Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices. How do Silver prices react to Gold’s moves? Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

The USD/CHF pair trades in a tight range around 0.8050 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}USD/CHF wobbles as investors seek fresh developments on Fed Cook’s lawsuit against her termination by US President Trump.Fed Cook’s lawyer stated that her removal lacks any factual or legal basis.Investors await US PCE inflation and Swiss Q2 GDP data.The USD/CHF pair trades in a tight range around 0.8050 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The Swiss Franc pair consolidates as the US Dollar (USD) trades calmly, with investors seeking fresh development on Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook’s termination by United States (US) President Donald Trump over mortgage allegations on late Monday.At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, ticks up to near 98.35.US President Trump shared a letter on Truth.Social in which he announced the removal of Fed Governor Cook, citing that she made false statements on one or more mortgage agreements.Meanwhile, Fed’s Cook has decided to defend allegations by filing a lawsuit against US President Trump’s decision to fire her. "His attempt to fire her, based solely on a referral letter, lacks any factual or legal basis. We will be filing a lawsuit challenging this illegal action," Cook’s lawyer, prominent Washington attorney Abbe Lowell, said, Reuters reported.On the economic front, investors await the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for July, which is scheduled to be released on Friday. The inflation data will influence market expectations for the Fed’s monetary policy outlook.According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is an 87% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in the September monetary policy meeting.In the Swiss economy, investors await the Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will be published on Thursday. The Swiss economy is expected to have expanded at a moderate pace of 0.1%, against a 0.5% growth seen in the first quarter of the year.  US Dollar FAQs What is the US Dollar? The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the ‘de facto’ currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world’s reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away. How do the decisions of the Federal Reserve impact the US Dollar? The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback. What is Quantitative Easing and how does it influence the US Dollar? In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar. What is Quantitative Tightening and how does it influence the US Dollar? Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar. to fire

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price moves little after registering more than 2% decline in the previous session, trading around $63.10 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

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Crude Oil prices remain steady as traders adopt caution ahead of new United States (US) tariffs on India, the world’s third-largest crude importer.The United States is set to impose additional tariffs of 25% on Indian exports at 04:01 GMT on Wednesday, in response to its Oil purchases from Russia. The tariffs will reach 50% overall and among the highest levied by Washington.Markets are weighing the potential demand effects after Indian refiners resumed Russian crude purchases for September and October. Indian refiners reduced their Russian Oil purchases for a brief period, prompted by US tariffs and EU sanctions.Meanwhile, Russia and Ukraine have intensified strikes on each other’s energy infrastructure. Following last week’s attacks. Russia raised its August crude export plan from western ports by 200,000 barrels per day compared with the initial schedule, Reuters reported on Tuesday, citing three sources.Traders monitor further developments over the Federal Reserve’s independence. President Trump said on Tuesday that he was ready for a legal fight with Fed Governor Lisa Cook after he moved to oust her from her post over falsified mortgage documents, per Bloomberg.American Petroleum Institute (API) data showed US Weekly Crude Oil Stock fell nearly 1 million barrels, undershooting expectations for a 1.7 million-barrel draw. The previous decline was 2.4 million barrels. WTI Oil FAQs What is WTI Oil? WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media. What factors drive the price of WTI Oil? Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa. How does inventory data impact the price of WTI Oil The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency. How does OPEC influence the price of WTI Oil? OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

The EUR/USD pair edges lower to near 1.1630 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair faces a slight selling pressure as political uncertainty in France has weighed on the Euro (EUR).

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The major currency pair faces a slight selling pressure as political uncertainty in France has weighed on the Euro (EUR).The existence of Prime Minister (PM) François Bayrou's minority government has come under threat as all three opposition parties of France have expressed that they won’t back a confidence vote over his €44 billion budget package on September 8.Political uncertainty in France led to a meltdown in French assets on Tuesday. CAC 40 ended 1.7% down in Tuesday’s trade.On the economic front, the Euro will be influenced by the inflation data from major states of the Eurozone, which will be published on Friday.Additionally, some sort of stability in the US Dollar (USD) has also weighed on the major currency pair. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, ticks up to near 98.35 during the press time.However, the outlook of the US Dollar is uncertain as the announcement of Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook’s termination by United States (US) President Donald Trump over mortgage allegations has made a serious crack on central bank’s independence. Euro FAQs What is the Euro? The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%). What is the ECB and how does it impact the Euro? The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates – or the expectation of higher rates – will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde. How does inflation data impact the value of the Euro? Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB’s 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money. How does economic data influence the value of the Euro? Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone’s economy. How does the Trade Balance impact the Euro? Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains steady following the release of the Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday. However, the AUD/USD pair receives downward pressure as the US Dollar (USD) recovers its recent losses from the previous session.

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p{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title{font-size:22.4px;line-height:25.6px}.fxs-event-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-event-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-event-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}Australian Dollar steadies as Monthly CPI rose by 2.8% YoY in July, surpassing the expected 2.3% increase.Traders remain cautious after President Trump warned of a 200% tariff on Chinese goods.Trump has indicated that White House economist Stephen Miran could be considered for Fed Governor Lisa Cook’s seat.The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains steady following the release of the Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday. However, the AUD/USD pair receives downward pressure as the US Dollar (USD) recovers its recent losses from the previous session.Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that the Monthly Consumer Price Index jumped by 2.8% year-over-year in July, following a 1.9% increase reported in June. The market consensus was for 2.3% growth in the reported period. Meanwhile, the Australian Construction Work Done improved to 3% in the second quarter, against the 0.8% expected.Traders remain cautious following US President Donald Trump’s warning of imposing a 200% tariff on Chinese goods if Beijing refuses to supply magnets to the United States (US), per Reuters. It is worth noting that any change in the Chinese economy could influence AUD as China and Australia are close trading partners.Australian Dollar steadies as US Dollar recovers recent lossesThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against six major currencies, is retracing its recent losses and trading around 98.30 at the time of writing. Focus is shifted toward the upcoming release of the Q2 US Gross Domestic Product Annualized and July Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.US President Donald Trump announced early Tuesday that he was removing Fed Governor Lisa Cook from her position on the Fed's board of directors. This is considered the first instance of a president firing a central bank governor in the Fed’s 111-year history.Trump has already nominated White House economist Stephen Miran to a temporary seat that expires in January and has suggested Miran could also be in the running for Cook’s position. Meanwhile, The Wall Street Journal reported that David Malpass, former World Bank president, is another potential candidate.President Trump threatened "subsequent additional tariffs" and export restrictions on advanced technology and semiconductors in retaliation for digital services taxes that hit American technology companies, per Bloomberg.Fed Chair Jerome Powell said at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday that risks to the job market were rising, but also noted inflation remained a threat and that a decision wasn't set in stone. Powell also stated that the Fed still believes it may not need to tighten policy solely based on uncertain estimates that employment may be beyond its maximum sustainable level.The US Initial Jobless Claims rose to 235K for the previous week, an eight-week high and above the consensus estimate of 225K, suggesting some softening in labor market conditions.The preliminary S&P Global US Composite PMI picked up pace in August, with the index at 55.4 against 55.1 prior. Meanwhile, the US Manufacturing PMI rose to 53.3 from 49.8 prior, surpassing the market consensus of 49.5. Services PMI eased to 55.4 from 55.7 in the previous reading, but was stronger than the 54.2 expected.The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Minutes of its August monetary policy meeting suggested that board members agreed that some further reduction in the cash rate is likely to be needed in the coming year. RBA Meeting Minutes also indicated that policymakers consider the pace of rate cuts would be determined by incoming data and the balance of global risks. The board saw arguments for both a gradual pace of easing and for a faster pace, while the labor market remained a little tight, inflation was still above the midpoint, and domestic demand was recovering.Australian Dollar tests confluence resistance zone around 0.6500The AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6500 on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is positioned slightly above the descending channel pattern, suggesting an emergence of a bullish bias. Additionally, the pair is trading above the nine-day EMA, indicating short-term price momentum is strengthening.On the upside, a successful breach above the psychological level of 0.6500 could support the AUD/JPY pair to explore the region around the monthly high at 0.6568, reached on August 14. Further advances could prompt the pair to test the nine-month high of 0.6625, which was recorded on July 24.The immediate support is appearing at the 50-day EMA of 0.6494, followed by the nine-day EMA of 0.6482. A break below these levels would weaken the medium- and short-term price momentum and put downward pressure on the pair to return to the descending channel and target the two-month low of 0.6414, recorded on August 21. Further declines would find support near the three-month low of 0.6372, reached on June 23, followed by the descending channel’s lower boundary.AUD/USD: Daily Chart Australian Dollar Price Today The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen. USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF USD 0.14% 0.15% 0.27% 0.02% 0.06% 0.18% 0.10% EUR -0.14% 0.00% 0.05% -0.16% -0.15% 0.00% -0.08% GBP -0.15% -0.00% 0.10% -0.12% -0.04% 0.04% -0.04% JPY -0.27% -0.05% -0.10% -0.19% -0.20% -0.08% -0.08% CAD -0.02% 0.16% 0.12% 0.19% 0.04% 0.18% 0.08% AUD -0.06% 0.15% 0.04% 0.20% -0.04% 0.15% 0.06% NZD -0.18% -0.00% -0.04% 0.08% -0.18% -0.15% -0.08% CHF -0.10% 0.08% 0.04% 0.08% -0.08% -0.06% 0.08% The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote). Economic Indicator Monthly Consumer Price Index (YoY) The Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a monthly basis, measures the changes in the price of a fixed basket of goods and services acquired by household consumers. The indicator was developed to provide inflation data at a higher frequency than the quarterly CPI. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to the same month a year earlier. A high reading is seen as bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD), while a low reading is seen as bearish. Read more. Last release: Wed Aug 27, 2025 01:30 Frequency: Monthly Actual: 2.8% Consensus: 2.3% Previous: 1.9% Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

The Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a negative note during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The precious metal retreats from a two-week high of $3,395 amid the profit-taking and modest rebound in the US Dollar (USD).

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}Gold price drifts lower in Wednesday’s Asian session. Worries over the Fed’s independence might support the Gold price.Traders await the US July PCE inflation report later on Friday for fresh impetus. The Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a negative note during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The precious metal retreats from a two-week high of $3,395 amid the profit-taking and modest rebound in the US Dollar (USD). The potential downside for the yellow metal might be capped amid concerns over the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence as US President Donald Trump doubled down on his efforts to oust a Fed governor. This could boost the Gold price as it is considered a traditional safe-haven asset. Traders will keep an eye on the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Any signs of escalating tensions might lift the Gold price, while a peace deal could undermine the precious metal in the near term. Gold traders brace for the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report for July later on Friday. The headline PCE is expected to show an increase of 2.6% YoY in July, while the core PCE is projected to show a rise of 2.9% YoY during the same report period. The hotter-than-expected inflation could limit the Fed’s ability to lower rates.Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price loses ground despite concerns about the future of Fed independenceDonald Trump said on Tuesday that he will soon have a “majority” of his own nominees on the Fed board of governors who will back his desire to cut the interest rates. In response, Fed Governor Lisa Cook said Trump has no authority to fire her from the central bank, and she will not resign. Trump said he was ready for a legal fight with Cook after he moved to oust her from her post following allegations that she falsified mortgage documents, per Bloomberg."Overnight you had the news that Trump fired one of the Fed governors accused of mortgage fraud. It gave a little life to gold because the Fed's kind of been the driver in gold right now," said RJO Futures market strategist Bob Haberkorn.Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signalled a possible interest rate cut at the US central bank's meeting in September, saying that risks to the job market were rising.Traders are now pricing in nearly an 85% chance for a cut of at least a quarter-point at the Fed’s September meeting, up from 75% last week, according to the CME FedWatch tool.Gold clings to a bullish stance in the longer term despite profit-takingThe Gold price edges lower on the day. Technically, the constructive outlook of the precious metal remains in play, with the price holding above the key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily chart. The path of least resistance is to the upside, as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands above the midline near 56.80. This indicates bullish momentum in the near term.The crucial resistance level for Gold emerges in the $3,400-3,410 zone, representing the psychological level, the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band, and the high of August 8. A run of green candles and steady trading above the mentioned level could open the door for a move toward $3,439, the high of July 23. The additional upside filter to watch is $3,500, the round figure, and the high of April 22. On the flip side, if the XAU/USD continues to draw in sellers and more red candlesticks show up, the price could head right back to $3,325, the low of August 21. Sustained trading below this level could expose $3,200, the lower limit of the Bollinger Band and round mark. Gold FAQs Why do people invest in Gold? Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government. Who buys the most Gold? Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves. How is Gold correlated with other assets? Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal. What does the price of Gold depend on? The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

USD/JPY recovers its recent losses from the previous session, trading around 147.60 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. However, the upside of the pair could be restrained as the US Dollar (USD) may struggle amid rising concerns over Federal Reserve (Fed) independence.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}USD/JPY may struggle as the US Dollar could face challenges due to rising concerns over Fed independence.President Trump announced the removal of Fed Governor Lisa Cook from her position.Japan’s chief trade negotiator, Akazawa, will return to the United States on Thursday for talks.USD/JPY recovers its recent losses from the previous session, trading around 147.60 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. However, the upside of the pair could be restrained as the US Dollar (USD) may struggle amid rising concerns over Federal Reserve (Fed) independence.US President Donald Trump announced early Tuesday that he was removing Fed Governor Lisa Cook from her position on the Fed's board of directors. This is considered the first instance of a president firing a central bank governor in the Fed’s 111-year history.According to Reuters, if Cook’s seat becomes vacant, President Trump would have the chance to secure a majority on the Fed’s seven-member board. Trump has already nominated White House economist Stephen Miran to a temporary seat that expires in January and has suggested Miran could also be in the running for Cook’s position. Meanwhile, The Wall Street Journal reported that David Malpass, former World Bank president, is another potential candidate.The Japanese Yen (JPY) could gain ground amid increasing stability in Japanese domestic politics amid improving public approval. Yomiuri newspaper public opinion poll showed on Monday a 20% rise in support for Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba despite his ruling coalition losing its majority in July's parliamentary election.Asahi TV reported on Wednesday that Japan's head trade negotiator, Akazawa, is heading back to the United States (US) on Thursday to discuss Japanese investment in the US. Traders await upcoming economic releases later this week, including Japan's Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Trade data due on Friday. Japanese Yen FAQs What key factors drive the Japanese Yen? The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors. How do the decisions of the Bank of Japan impact the Japanese Yen? One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen. How does the differential between Japanese and US bond yields impact the Japanese Yen? Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential. How does broader risk sentiment impact the Japanese Yen? The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.

On Wednesday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.1108 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1188 and 7.1559 Reuters estimate.

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Australia Construction Work Done above expectations (0.8%) in 2Q: Actual (3%)

US President Donald Trump said he was ready for a legal fight with Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook after he moved to oust her from her post following allegations that she falsified mortgage documents, Bloomberg reported late Tuesday. 

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Australia Westpac Leading Index (MoM): 0.1% (July) vs -0.03%

The NZD/USD pair holds steady near 0.5860 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. Rising concerns over the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence could weigh on the US Dollar (USD) against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD).

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}NZD/USD trades flat around 0.5860 in Wednesday’s early Asian session.Trump said he is firing Fed governor Lisa Cook, raising concerns over the Fed’s independence. RBNZ’s dovish tone might cap the pair’s upside. The NZD/USD pair holds steady near 0.5860 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. Rising concerns over the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence could weigh on the US Dollar (USD) against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD). The preliminary reading of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter (Q2) will be in the spotlight on Thursday, ahead of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report for July. US President Donald Trump stated on Monday that he has fired Fed Governor Lisa Cook, the first instance of a president firing a central bank governor in the Fed’s history. On Tuesday, Trump said that he will soon have a “majority” of his nominees on the Fed board who will back his desire to slash interest rates. In response, Cook said Trump has no authority to fire her from the central bank, and she will not resign. The unpredictable actions of the Trump administration and the prospect of a more dovish Fed could undermine the Greenback and act as a tailwind for the pair in the near term. Traders are now pricing in nearly an 85% odds for a cut of at least a quarter-point at the Fed’s September meeting, up from 75% last week, according to the CME FedWatch tool."President Trump is undertaking a risky and possibly ineffective battle against the Fed. To get a majority of the FOMC to toe the Trump line would take seven voters, not just two or even four," said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management.On the other hand, the dovish tone from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) might weigh on the Kiwi against the USD. The New Zealand central bank cut its policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) to a three-year low of 3.00% last week and signaled further reductions in coming months as policymakers warned of domestic and global headwinds to growth. RBNZ Governor Christian Hawkesby noted that the outlook is data-dependent, adding that if businesses and consumers remain cautious and need more support, that might be something that prompts more action.   New Zealand Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the New Zealand Dollar? The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country’s central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand’s biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand’s main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD. How do decisions of the RBNZ impact the New Zealand Dollar? The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors’ appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair. How does economic data influence the value of the New Zealand Dollar? Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar’s (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate. How does broader risk sentiment impact the New Zealand Dollar? The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called ‘commodity currencies’ such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.

GBP/USD rebounded from early-week losses on Tuesday, bouncing back up from a fresh technical floor near the 1.3450 level. Cable has been drifting within familiar technical levels as broad-market investor sentiment grinds to a halt ahead of key US economic figures.

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Pound Sterling FAQs What is the Pound Sterling? The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as ‘Cable’, which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the ‘Dragon’ as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE). How do the decisions of the Bank of England impact on the Pound Sterling? The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of “price stability” – a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects. How does economic data influence the value of the Pound? Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall. How does the Trade Balance impact the Pound? Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) will publish its monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for July on Wednesday at 01.30 GMT. The monthly CPI is expected to show an increase of 2.3% year-over-year (YoY) in July, compared to a 1.9% figure reported in June. 

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The monthly CPI is expected to show an increase of 2.3% year-over-year (YoY) in July, compared to a 1.9% figure reported in June. How could the Australian CPI inflation affect AUD/USD?AUD/USD trades in positive territory near a weekly high of 0.6505 in the lead up to the Australian CPI inflation report. The pair gains ground as the US Dollar weakens on fears over the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence after US President Donald Trump announced he was firing a Fed Governor Lisa Cook.  If inflation comes in hotter than expected, it could lift the Australian Dollar (AUD), with the first upside barrier seen at the August 18 high of 0.6524. The next resistance level emerges at the August 7 high of 0.6541, en route to the August 13 high of 0.6562. To the downside, the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6468 will offer some comfort to buyers. Extended losses could see a drop to the August 5 low of 0.6450, followed by the August 21 low of 0.6415.  Australian Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the Australian Dollar? One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment – whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) – is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD. How do the decisions of the Reserve Bank of Australia impact the Australian Dollar? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive. How does the health of the Chinese Economy impact the Australian Dollar? China is Australia’s largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs. How does the price of Iron Ore impact the Australian Dollar? Iron Ore is Australia’s largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD. How does the Trade Balance impact the Australian Dollar? The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.

The USD/CAD pair loses ground to near 1.3835 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Canadian dollar (CAD) amid fears over the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence after US President Donald Trump announced he was firing a Fed Governor Lisa Cook.

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The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Canadian dollar (CAD) amid fears over the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence after US President Donald Trump announced he was firing a Fed Governor Lisa Cook.Trump said on Tuesday that he will soon have a “majority” of his own nominees on the Fed board of governors who will back his desire to cut the interest rates. These comments came hours after he took the unprecedented move to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook. In response, Cook said Trump has no authority to fire her from the central bank, and she will not resign. Trump’s decision to fire Cook renewed concerns over the central bank's independence and exerted some selling pressure on the Greenback. Trump also once again criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not lowering interest rates, although he has stopped issuing threats to fire him ahead of the end of his term in a little under nine months. According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are now pricing in nearly an 85% chance of a rate cut at the Fed's next meeting. Meanwhile, a rise in crude oil prices might support the commodity-linked Loonie and create a headwind for the pair. It’s worth noting that Canada is the largest oil exporter to the US, and higher crude oil prices tend to have a positive impact on the CAD value.Financial market believes the Bank of Canada (BoC) would deliver a rate reduction at the next policy decision in September after data last week showed a sharp deceleration in 3-month annualized measures of underlying inflation that are closely watched by the Canadian central bank. Dovish tone from the BoC could drag the CAD lower and cap the downside for the pair.  Canadian Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the Canadian Dollar? The key factors driving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) are the level of interest rates set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), the price of Oil, Canada’s largest export, the health of its economy, inflation and the Trade Balance, which is the difference between the value of Canada’s exports versus its imports. Other factors include market sentiment – whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) – with risk-on being CAD-positive. As its largest trading partner, the health of the US economy is also a key factor influencing the Canadian Dollar. How do the decisions of the Bank of Canada impact the Canadian Dollar? The Bank of Canada (BoC) has a significant influence on the Canadian Dollar by setting the level of interest rates that banks can lend to one another. This influences the level of interest rates for everyone. The main goal of the BoC is to maintain inflation at 1-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively higher interest rates tend to be positive for the CAD. The Bank of Canada can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former CAD-negative and the latter CAD-positive. How does the price of Oil impact the Canadian Dollar? The price of Oil is a key factor impacting the value of the Canadian Dollar. Petroleum is Canada’s biggest export, so Oil price tends to have an immediate impact on the CAD value. Generally, if Oil price rises CAD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Oil falls. Higher Oil prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance, which is also supportive of the CAD. How does inflation data impact the value of the Canadian Dollar? While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for a currency since it lowers the value of money, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Higher inflation tends to lead central banks to put up interest rates which attracts more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in Canada’s case is the Canadian Dollar. How does economic data influence the value of the Canadian Dollar? Macroeconomic data releases gauge the health of the economy and can have an impact on the Canadian Dollar. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the CAD. A strong economy is good for the Canadian Dollar. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the Bank of Canada to put up interest rates, leading to a stronger currency. If economic data is weak, however, the CAD is likely to fall.

USD/JPY eased slightly on Tuesday, backsliding around one-quarter of one percent and keeping the pair hobbled just below the 148.00 handle.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}USD/JPY remains trapped in consolidation near key moving averages.Dollar-Yen traders are unlikely to find a reason to move from their perch through the midweek.Key inflation data looms large later this week on both sides of the Pacific.USD/JPY eased slightly on Tuesday, backsliding around one-quarter of one percent and keeping the pair hobbled just below the 148.00 handle. The pair has been adrift in a tight consolidation pattern since the beginning of August, and Yen traders are unlikely to find much of a reason to kick off a new trend ahead of key economic data.US and Japanese inflation looms large this weekUS Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) will land on markets on Friday. Investors will be increasingly apprehensive as the week progresses; global markets are broadly hoping for a fresh round of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) starting in September, however rate cut hopes could easily be broken if tariff-led inflation impacts show up in headline inflation data too quickly.Before that, Thursday will bring the latest round of Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation. Core monthly Tokyo CPI is expected to ease to 2.5%, and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is burdened by (or benefits from, depending on your stance) inverse interest rate expectations from the Fed: the BoJ has been slow to raise already-low interest rates, citing concerns that Japanese inflation may be too low, despite rising above the BoJ’s 2% headline target for years.USD/JPY price forecastUSD/JPY is holding attention just above the 200-hour moving average after managing to break through it around the 147.50 level, and now it is testing the 100-hour moving average at approximately 147.65. The pair’s bounce from the 50-day EMA adds a touch of optimism, and the market is keeping a close eye on 149.00 as resistance, while support is shaping up near 146.00. This intraday movement looks a lot like a cautious climb, where momentum is building but judgment calls hinge on whether the rally can clear and sustain above that 149.00 threshold.On the daily chart, USD/JPY remains locked in neutral territory, ranging between key pivot points roughly between 146.20 on the downside and 148.76 on the upside. Technicians are watching the 146.20 mark closely, because a firm break would suggest the rebound from just under 140.00 has run its course and could open the door to a slide toward 142.67. On the flip side, a sustained push above 148.76 could see buyers eye another run back to last year’s high near 150.90. In short, daily trading appears to be in wait-and-see mode, tilting only when one of those thresholds gives way.USD/JPY daily chart
Japanese Yen FAQs What key factors drive the Japanese Yen? The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors. How do the decisions of the Bank of Japan impact the Japanese Yen? One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen. How does the differential between Japanese and US bond yields impact the Japanese Yen? Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential. How does broader risk sentiment impact the Japanese Yen? The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.

Ireland Consumer Confidence climbed from previous 59.1 to 61.1 in August

South Korea BOK Manufacturing BSI: 70 (September) vs 68

AUD/USD is holding steady between familiar technical levels after catching a thin bid on Tuesday. US economic releases will take a breather on Wednesday, giving Aussie traders a chance to catch their breath, at least after the next round of Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}AUD/USD found slim gains on Tuesday, keeping the pair bolstered near key levels.The Aussie-Dollar pair remains trapped just above the 200-day EMA, but below 0.6500.The latest Australian monthly CPI inflation print is due early Wednesday.AUD/USD is holding steady between familiar technical levels after catching a thin bid on Tuesday. US economic releases will take a breather on Wednesday, giving Aussie traders a chance to catch their breath, at least after the next round of Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data.The latest US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) inflation figures loom large later this week, pushing investor sentiment into the middle ahead of the key data print. Before then, US data remains fairly limited, and data reactions will likely stay constrained.Coming up: Australian CPI inflationAustralia's monthly CPI inflation print for July will land early on Wednesday. Australian inflation is expected to rise, forecast to climb to 2.3% compared to the previous 1.9%. After the RBA's latest Meeting Minutes released early Tuesday, Wednesday's CPI print will wrap up the Aussie's significant representation on this week's data docket.AUD/USD price forecastIn the hourly window, AUD/USD found a solid base near 0.6415, forming a footing from which it staged a bounce. It cracked through a descending trendline and pushed past 0.6440, even settling beyond the 50-hour simple moving average. That rally brought the pair up toward the 0.6490 zone, where 50% Fibonacci retracement resistance now looms, as traders assess whether bulls can drive it to the next stops at 0.6520 and higher toward 0.6540. But the downside risk remains in play: a failure above 0.6490 could reassert pressure, with support curling around 0.6470 and 0.6440, and deeper vulnerability targeting the low-0.6400s.On the daily chart, the outlook is more zoned in. AUD/USD continues to oscillate within a 0.6400–0.6600 range, with neither fresh bulls nor bears grabbing the wheel. The pair is hovering near the lower-to-mid-range, buoyed partly by a softer U.S. dollar and improving risk appetite. Yet it still needs a strong catalyst to break free, whether through a big swing in Chinese data, a dovish U.S. Fed signal, or a surprise move from the RBA.AUD/USD daily chart
Australian Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the Australian Dollar? One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment – whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) – is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD. How do the decisions of the Reserve Bank of Australia impact the Australian Dollar? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive. How does the health of the Chinese Economy impact the Australian Dollar? China is Australia’s largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs. How does the price of Iron Ore impact the Australian Dollar? Iron Ore is Australia’s largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD. How does the Trade Balance impact the Australian Dollar? The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.
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